We Think Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd (SZSE:002602) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd (SZSE:002602) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Zhejiang Century Huatong Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002602) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务是评估公司风险时通常涉及破产的重要因素。我们可以看到,浙江世纪华通股份有限公司(SZSE:002602)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多大的风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业用新的资本或自由现金流偿还。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是“创造性毁灭”过程,在这个过程中,银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见(但仍然很昂贵)的情况是企业必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,以简单地控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑一家企业的债务水平的第一步是考虑其现金和债务的整体情况。
How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd Carry?
浙江世纪华通股份有限公司承担了多少债务?
As you can see below, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd had CN¥1.03b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥3.65b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.74b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.71b net cash.
正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年3月,浙江世纪华通股份有限公司的债务为10.3亿人民币,较去年同期的36.5亿人民币有所减少。然而,其资产负债表显示其持有37.4亿人民币的现金,因此其净现金实际上为27.1亿人民币。
How Strong Is Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.68b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.78b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.74b in cash and CN¥3.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.93b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据最近公布的资产负债表,浙江世纪华通集团有限公司拥有86.8亿人民币的短期负债,以及27.8亿人民币的长期负债。 与此相抵,公司有37.4亿人民币的现金和38亿人民币的应收账款,这些都是在12个月内到期的。 所以,公司的负债合计比其现金和短期应收账款多出39.3亿人民币。
Of course, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥23.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的市值为235亿人民币,所以这些负债可能是可以应对的。 但是公司有足够的负债,我们当然建议股东继续关注资产负债表的发展情况。 尽管要注意负债,但浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的现金比债务更多,所以我们对其能够安全地管理债务非常有信心。
Even more impressive was the fact that Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 150% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
更令人印象深刻的是,浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的息税前利润(EBIT)在过去的12个月中增长了150%。 如果能保持这种增长,这将使债务在未来几年更加可管理。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。 但最重要的还是未来的盈利,它将决定浙江世纪华通集团有限公司维持健康资产负债表的能力。 所以,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的分析师盈利预测报告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
最后,一家公司只能用实实在在的现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润来偿还。 尽管浙江世纪华通集团有限公司在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它的现金余额是如何快速增长(或减少)的。 在过去的三年中,浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的自由现金流比息税前利润(EBIT)还要高。 当涉及保持与债权人的良好关系时,没有什么比现金流入更好的了。
Summing Up
总之
While Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.71b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.6b, being 126% of its EBIT. So we don't think Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Zhejiang Century Huatong GroupLtd's earnings per share history for free.
虽然浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的负债比流动资产多,但其净现金达到了27.1亿人民币。而且,其自由现金流为26亿人民币,相当于EBIt的126%。所以,我们认为浙江世纪华通集团有限公司的债务使用并不具备风险。在众多其他指标之上,如果孰不测地想要追踪每股收益的增长速度,您还算得上幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看浙江世纪华通集团的每股收益历史的互动图表。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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