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We Think You Can Look Beyond Hang Chi Holdings' (HKG:8405) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond Hang Chi Holdings' (HKG:8405) Lackluster Earnings

我们认为您可以超越恒指控股(HKG:8405)平淡的盈利
Simply Wall St ·  08/21 18:46

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Hang Chi Holdings Limited's (HKG:8405) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

上周,杭志控股有限公司(HKG:8405)的业绩报告不尽如人意,但股东们似乎并不担心。我们认为,一些积极的基本因素可能在抵消这些较差的业绩数据。

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SEHK:8405 Earnings and Revenue History August 21st 2024
SEHK:8405 历史收益和营业收入情况 2024年8月21日

Examining Cashflow Against Hang Chi Holdings' Earnings

分析杭志控股的现金流与业绩

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一项关键财务比率是应计比率。要获得应计比率,我们首先将某一时期的FCF从利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期平均经营资产。您可以将来自现金流的应计比率视为“非FCF获利比例”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。

Hang Chi Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.38 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$77m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$26.5m. Hang Chi Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2024年6月,杭志控股的应计比率为-0.38。这表明它的自由现金流明显超过了其法定利润。实际上,在该时期,杭志控股产生了7700万港币的自由现金流,而其报告的利润为2650万港币。毫无疑问,杭志控股的股东会对过去十二个月的自由现金流改善感到满意。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hang Chi Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对杭志控股的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Hang Chi Holdings' Profit Performance

关于恒志集团利润表现的我们观点

As we discussed above, Hang Chi Holdings' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Hang Chi Holdings' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Hang Chi Holdings (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,根据恒志集团的应计比率,其利润转换为自由现金流的能力强,这对公司来说是一个积极因素。根据这一观察结果,我们认为恒志集团的法定利润实际上低估了其盈利潜力!然而,遗憾的是,过去一年恒志集团的每股盈利实际上有所回落。本文的目标是评估我们能够依靠法定盈利来反映公司潜力的程度,但还有很多其他因素需要考虑。鉴于此,如果您想对该公司进行更多分析,了解其中的风险是至关重要的。在我们进行研究时,我们发现了恒志集团的4个警示信号(其中一个是重要的!),我们认为这些信号值得您的充分关注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hang Chi Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

这个注释只是针对揭示恒志集团利润性质的一个因素。但是,如果您能够把注意力放在细枝末节上,就会发现更多。有些人认为股本回报率高是一家优质企业的良好迹象。所以您可能希望看看这个免费的高股本回报率公司集合,或者这个高内部持股的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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