Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002577) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002577) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002577) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.3% isn't as attractive.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Shenzhen Rapoo Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 9.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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What Does Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Rapoo Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Rapoo Technology?
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 15% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Rapoo Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Rapoo Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen Rapoo Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Rapoo Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.