Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology (SHSE:688387) A Risky Investment?
Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology (SHSE:688387) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CICT Mobile Communication Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688387) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
当你说‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受到资本的永久损失’时,作为巴菲特的投资经理后盾的李录大胆地表达了这一观点。当你考虑一家公司的资产负债表时,这是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常涉及到债务。我们可以看到中国铁建通信科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688387)在业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得有风险。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当企业不能轻易偿还其债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是利用自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法执行其法律义务偿还债务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司永久地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人会强制以危机价格提高他们的资本。当然,债务对于企业来说也是很重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业来说。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是查看其现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology's Net Debt?
中国铁建通信科技的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, CICT Mobile Communication Technology had CN¥1.74b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥2.06b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥4.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.39b.
正如你下面所看到的,截至2024年6月,中国铁建通信科技的债务为17.4亿元,比去年同期的20.6亿元有所下降。然而,它有41.2亿元的现金来抵消这笔债务,从而导致净现金为23.9亿元。
A Look At CICT Mobile Communication Technology's Liabilities
审视CICt移动通信科技的负债
The latest balance sheet data shows that CICT Mobile Communication Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.39b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥691.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.12b in cash and CN¥6.33b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新资产负债表数据显示,CICt移动通信科技的短期负债为人民币63.9亿,长期负债为人民币69100万。抵消这一点的是,它手头有412亿现金和633亿应收款项分别在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多337亿。
This surplus suggests that CICT Mobile Communication Technology is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, CICT Mobile Communication Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CICT Mobile Communication Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
这一盈余表明CICt移动通信科技在债务使用上既安全又保守。考虑到它有足够的短期流动性,我们认为它不会与债权人发生任何问题。简而言之,CICt移动通信科技拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但更重要的是,未来收入将决定CICt移动通信科技维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Over 12 months, CICT Mobile Communication Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥7.4b, which is a fall of 4.2%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去12个月里,CICt移动通信科技在EBIt水平上出现亏损,并且其营业收入降至人民币74亿,下降了4.2%。这不是我们希望看到的。
So How Risky Is CICT Mobile Communication Technology?
那么CICt移动通信科技的风险究竟有多大?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year CICT Mobile Communication Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥858m of cash and made a loss of CN¥346m. But the saving grace is the CN¥2.39b on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. For riskier companies like CICT Mobile Communication Technology I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
从本质上讲,亏损公司比长期盈利历史的公司更具风险。而且在过去一年里,CICt移动通信科技在利息和税前收益(EBIT)上出现了亏损。事实上,那段时间它燃烧了8580万现金,亏损了3.46亿。但好在资产负债表上有239亿。这笔资金意味着公司至少可以保持按照当前速度的增长支出两年。总体而言,目前来看,它的资产负债表似乎并不过于冒险,但在我们看到正面的自由现金流之前,我们总是持谨慎态度。对于像CICt移动通信科技这样的高风险公司,我总是喜欢关注长期盈利和收入趋势。幸运的是,你可以点击查看我们的盈利、收入和经营现金流的互动图表。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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