Bitcoin's 2025 Outlook Is 'Fairly Constructive' Considering The 'Fragile' Financial System, Macro Analyst Says
Bitcoin's 2025 Outlook Is 'Fairly Constructive' Considering The 'Fragile' Financial System, Macro Analyst Says
Renowned macro analyst Lyn Alden sees Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) as a standout asset against the background of global currency debasement but cautions against expectations of imminent price surges.
全球货币贬值背景下,著名宏观分析师Lyn Alden认为比特币是一项杰出的资产,但警告人们不要对即将到来的价格暴涨有太高期望。
What Happened: In a wide-ranging interview, Alden discussed recent market volatility, fiscal and monetary policy and Bitcoin's long-term prospects. She echoed the sentiment of Raoul Pal, who also recently termed Bitcoin a "standout asset" thanks to its 150% yearly average gains.
事件回顾:在一次广泛的访谈中,Alden讨论了最近市场的波动、财政和货币政策以及比特币的长期前景。她赞同Raoul Pal的观点,后者最近也将比特币称为杰出的资产,这要归功于其年均150%的涨幅。
The analyst also noted that the recent market meltdown and quick recovery highlighted the "fragility" of the financial system and investors' reliance on central bank intervention.
分析师还指出,最近的市场崩溃和快速恢复凸显了金融系统的"脆弱性",以及投资者对中央银行干预的依赖。
Regarding Bitcoin's price action, Alden stated that its strongest correlation is with global liquidity, which has been flat for about two years. This accounts for Bitcoin's recent sideways trading, despite the launch of spot ETFs.
关于比特币的价格行动,Alden表示其最强的相关性是与全球流动性相关的,这种关联已经持续了大约两年。这解释了比特币最近的横盘交易,尽管推出了现货etf。
However, she remains "fairly constructive" on Bitcoin's outlook for 2025, anticipating a more pro-liquidity environment as the Federal Reserve potentially eases monetary policy.
然而,她对比特币在2025年的前景仍然"相当乐观",预计联邦储备可能放松货币政策,创造更加有利于流动性的环境。
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Why It Matters: Alden emphasized the importance of Bitcoin's growing technological capabilities, particularly in privacy and efficiency. She highlighted the launch of several eCash wallets and improvements in payment discovery through platforms like Nostr, stating these developments are "cool to see" and empower diverse communities globally.
为什么重要:Alden强调了比特币日益增长的技术能力的重要性,尤其是在隐私和效率方面。她强调了几个eCash钱包的推出和通过Nostr等平台对支付发现的改进,称这些发展"很酷"并为全球各个社群赋予了更多权力。
On the political front, Alden noted growing bipartisan support for Bitcoin in the U.S., which she sees as crucial for protecting against potential hostile government actions. She expressed neutrality on proposals for a national Bitcoin strategic reserve but acknowledged it could send a "very positive signal" to other countries.
在政治方面,奥尔登指出美国对比特币的跨党派支持日益增长,她认为这对于防范潜在的敌对政府行动至关重要。她对建立国家比特币战略储备的提议表达了中立,但承认这可能向其他国家发出“非常积极的信号”.
Looking ahead, Alden expects continued fiscal dominance and currency debasement in developed economies, potentially leading to "emerging market-like characteristics" in their monetary policies. In this environment, she views Bitcoin as one of the few assets likely to outperform currency debasement over time.
展望未来,奥尔登预计发达经济体将持续财政主导和货币贬值,可能导致其货币政策出现“新兴市场样特性”。在这种环境下,她认为比特币是少数几种有可能在时代和币值贬值方面表现优越的资产之一。
What's Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
接下来:比特币作为机构资产类别的影响力预计将在Benzinga即将到来的数字资产未来活动中得到彻底探讨。日期是11月19日。
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