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Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US

Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US

据分析师预测,现货比特币ETF基金很快将拥有比特币比中本聪还多,但另一个基金是美国最具波动性的ETF基金。
Benzinga ·  08/22 14:21

In an interview with crypto influencer Scott Melker, Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas highlighted both the challenges and successes of the new spot cryptocurrency ETFs.

在接受加密影响者Scott Melker的采访中,彭博ETF分析师詹姆斯·赛法特和埃里克·巴尔丘纳强调了新的现货加密货币ETF面临的挑战和成功。

What Happened: On the latest episode of Melker's podcast, Balchunas emphasized the resilience of Bitcoin ETF investors, noting, "99.5% of the assets stuck, even though there was a weekend where they woke up to a 15% downturn."

发生了什么:在Melker的播客的最新一集中,巴尔丘纳强调了比特币ETF投资者的韧性,指出:"99.5%的资产仍然固定在那里,即使有一个周末他们醒来时市场下跌了15%。"

Regarding Bitcoin ETFs, Seyffart reported impressive inflows: "They have like 17 and a half to 18 billion in inflows since they launched." He noted the ETFs now hold around 920,000 bitcoin, approaching a significant milestone. "Within a year, the US ETFs will have more Bitcoin than Satoshi," Balchunas added, highlighting the rapid institutional adoption.

关于比特币ETF,赛法特报告了令人印象深刻的资金流入:"自推出以来,它们已经吸引了大约17.5亿到18亿美元的资金流入。"他指出,ETF现在持有大约92万枚比特币,接近一个重要的里程碑。"在一年内,美国的ETF将持有比特币比中本聪更多,"巴尔丘纳补充道,强调了快速的机构采用。

The Ethereum ETFs, however, have faced challenges. Seyffart admitted, "They have negative flows since launch." Despite this, Balchunas provided context: "If you took the Bitcoin ETFs off the table and you looked at the launches this year, Ether would be number one by far at a billion dollars." He noted that the BlackRock Ethereum ETF (NASDAQ:ETHA) ranks 136 overall based on flows this year for all ETFs, placing it in the top 3%.

然而,以太坊ETF面临挑战。赛法特承认:"自推出以来,它们持续出现资金流出。"尽管如此,巴尔丘纳提供了背景:"如果你把比特币ETF排除在外,看今年的推出,以太坊绝对是第一名,达到了十亿美元。"他指出,贝莱德以太坊ETF(纳斯达克:ETHA)根据今年所有ETF的资金流入排名第136,占据了前3%。

The analysts addressed the withdrawal of Solana ETF applications, viewing it as an early step in a longer process. Balchunas compared it to Bitcoin's ETF journey, stating, "I would look at this as like the Winklevoss filing in 2013. These are the sort of like first shots you get." He suggested Solana ETFs might have better prospects under a different political administration or with the development of futures markets.

分析师们讨论了Solana ETF申请的撤回,将其视为更长步骤中的早期行动。巴尔丘纳将其比作比特币ETF之旅,称:"我会把这看作是2013年Winklevoss的申请。这些就像你获得的第一枪。"他暗示Solana ETF在不同的政治管理下或者随着期货市场的发展可能会有更好的前景。

Why It Matters: The analysts suggested patience with Ethereum ETFs, expecting a slower adoption curve compared to Bitcoin ETFs. Balchunas explained, "I always equate the Ether to silver to gold. They'll have their own little market." He added, "It's a long game. They're off to a decent start."

为什么重要:分析师建议对以太坊ETF保持耐心,预计其采用速度比比特币ETF要慢。巴尔丘纳解释道:"我总是把以太坊等同于白银对黄金。它们将有自己的小市场。"他补充说:"这是一个长期的游戏。它们的起步还算不错。"

The conversation also touched on the broader ETF market, highlighting record inflows across various sectors. Balchunas noted, "The breadth of flows beyond equities is a really promising sign for the industry."

对话还涉及更广泛的etf市场,突显各个领域资金流入创纪录。Balchunas指出,“除了股票外,资金流的广度对行业板块来说是一个非常有前途的迹象。”

A particularly interesting development was the launch of highly volatile products like leveraged MicroStrategy ETFs (NASDAQ:MSTX). Seyffart described one such product as "the most volatile ETF ever introduced in the United States," with Balchunas adding, "I believe it's the most immediately popular leveraged ETF ever to launch."

特别引人注目的发展是推出了高度波动性产品,比如杠杆化的microstrategy etf(纳斯达克:MSTX)。Seyffart将这种产品描述为“美国历史上波动性最高的etf之一”,Balchunas补充道,“我认为这是迄今为止最受欢迎的杠杆etf。”

In conclusion, while acknowledging the current challenges, the analysts emphasized the need for patience and a broader perspective. Balchunas summarized, "Don't worry. They had a lot of things going against them. They're doing okay despite it."

总的来说,虽然承认当前的挑战,分析师们强调需要耐心和更广阔的视角。Balchunas总结道,“不用担心。他们面临很多困难,尽管如此,他们做得还不错。”

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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