The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Minmetals Development's (SHSE:600058 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.4% in Past Week
The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Minmetals Development's (SHSE:600058 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.4% in Past Week
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Minmetals Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600058) shareholders, since the share price is down 44% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 31%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 37% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 22% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 13% in the same period.
对于许多投资者来说,选股的主要目的是获得比整个市场更高的回报。但在任何投资组合中,可能会存在一些无法达到这个基准的股票。不幸的是,长期拥有五矿发展股份有限公司(SHSE:600058)股票的股东们在过去三年中看到了股价下跌了44%,远低于市场下跌了31%左右的幅度。最近的买家也面临着困难,去年下跌了37%。股东们最近的表现更加糟糕,过去90天中股价下跌了22%。但这可能与市场疲软有关,同一时期市场下降了13%。
With the stock having lost 5.4% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
由于该股在过去一周内下跌了5.4%,值得关注业务表现,看是否有任何风险信号。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的话顺便说一下,“船只将环游世界,但支持地球平面学会的人将大有可为。 在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异...”通过比较EPS和股价变化,我们可以了解到投资者对公司的态度随时间的变化程度。
Minmetals Development saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 49% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 18% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. With a P/E ratio of 111.31, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
在过去三年中,五矿发展的每股收益以年复合降幅为49%。与此相比,年复合股价下跌18%的情况并不像每股收益的下降那么糟糕。因此,尽管存在之前的失望,股东们必须对局势在更长期内会有所改善抱有一些信心。以111.31的市盈率来看,市场认为该企业未来前景较为光明。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We regret to report that Minmetals Development shareholders are down 37% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 16%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Minmetals Development is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...
遗憾的是,五矿发展股东今年损失了37%。不幸的是,这比整体市场下跌16%更糟糕。然而,股价可能仅仅受到整体市场的不安影响。值得关注的是,可能存在良机。不幸的是,去年的表现显示出不可解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个世纪的年化亏损5%更糟糕。我们意识到巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说投资者应该"在街上有血的时候买入",但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们在购买高质量的业务。我发现长期观察股价作为企业绩效的代理非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即使如此,请注意,在我们的投资分析中,五矿发展显示出3个警示信号,其中2个令人担忧......
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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