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Is ComfortDelGro (SGX:C52) A Risky Investment?

Is ComfortDelGro (SGX:C52) A Risky Investment?

康福德高企业(SGX:C52)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/22 21:20

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited (SGX:C52) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人认为,作为投资者,最好的风险思考方式是波动性而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 所以很明显,当您考虑任何股票有多大风险时,您需要考虑债务,因为债务过多可能会拖垮一家公司。我们可以看到康福德高企业(SGX:C52)在业务中使用了债务。但这种债务会让股东担忧吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过增资还是利用自身现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可能会接管企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的总体情况。

How Much Debt Does ComfortDelGro Carry?

康福德高企业承担了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, ComfortDelGro had S$677.2m of debt, up from S$311.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds S$883.7m in cash, so it actually has S$206.5m net cash.

正如您下面所看到的,在2024年6月底,康福德高企业的债务为67720万新元,比一年前的31190万新元有所增加。单击图片了解更多详细信息。然而,其资产负债表显示其持有88370万新元现金,因此实际上净现金为20650万新元。

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SGX:C52 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024
SGX:C52债务与权益历史记录2024年8月23日

How Healthy Is ComfortDelGro's Balance Sheet?

舒适集团的资产负债表健康吗?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ComfortDelGro had liabilities of S$1.27b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$808.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$883.7m as well as receivables valued at S$717.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$481.8m.

根据最后披露的资产负债表,舒适集团短期内有12.7亿新元的应付款项,超过12个月有8,084万新元的应付款项。抵消这些义务,它还有8,837万新元的现金和7,171万新元的应收款项,短期内到期。因此,它的债务超过了现金和(短期)应收款项的总和,达到了4,818万新元。

Since publicly traded ComfortDelGro shares are worth a total of S$2.99b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ComfortDelGro also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

考虑到舒适集团的股票总值约为29.9亿新元,这个水平的债务似乎并不构成重大威胁。话虽如此,我们仍然需要继续监测其资产负债表,以防情况恶化。尽管它有一些值得注意的债务,但舒适集团的现金多于债务,所以我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理债务。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that ComfortDelGro has boosted its EBIT by 33%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ComfortDelGro's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,我们很高兴地报告,舒适集团的税息折旧及摊销前利润(EBIt)增长了33%,从而减少了未来偿还债务的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但与任何其他因素相比,未来的盈利将决定舒适集团维持一个健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会对分析师利润预测的免费报告感兴趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. ComfortDelGro may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, ComfortDelGro generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,虽然税务部门可能热爱会计利润,但贷款人只接受实打实的现金。舒适集团的资产负债表上可能净现金,但关注业务如何将税息前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力,这仍然很有意思。在过去三年中,舒适集团生成了非常可观的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的89%,超出了我们的预期。这使它有能力在需要时偿还债务。

Summing Up

总之

While ComfortDelGro does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of S$206.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 89% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in S$92m. So is ComfortDelGro's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for ComfortDelGro that you should be aware of.

尽管康福德高企业的负债超过了流动资产,但它也拥有20650万新加坡元的净现金。 更值得一提的是,它将89%的EBIt转化为自由现金流,创造了9200万新加坡元的现金流入。 所以,康福德高企业的债务是否构成风险? 在我们看来并非如此。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。 但是,并非所有的投资风险都嵌入在资产负债表中,远非如此。 例如,我们已经发现了康福德高企业的1个警示信号,您应该注意到。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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