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Is Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology (SZSE:300446) A Risky Investment?

Is Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology (SZSE:300446) A Risky Investment?

航天智造(SZSE:300446)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/22 21:21

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300446) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

当讨论股价波动性时,霍华德·马克斯说得很好:“我担心的是永久损失的可能性……我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心这个。”因此,看起来聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常与破产有关)是评估公司风险时非常重要的因素。重要的是,新航智能制造股份有限公司(SZSE:300446)确实负债。但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司具有风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债务,那么企业就处在债权人的掌握范围内。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见的情况是,企业必须以平价的股票价格稀释股东权益,以便控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它替代了具有高回报能力的公司再投资时的权益稀释时。当我们考虑一个公司的债务使用时,我们首先考虑现金和债务合起来。

What Is Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's Net Debt?

新航智能制造的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology had CN¥482.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥60.1m, over one year. But it also has CN¥2.53b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.05b net cash.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,新航智能制造的债务为48260万人民币,一年增加了6010万人民币。但它还有25.3亿人民币的现金来抵消,意味着它有20.5亿人民币的净现金。

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SZSE:300446 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024
SZSE:300446的资产负债历史-2024年8月23日

A Look At Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's Liabilities

航天智造负债概述

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.79b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥345.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.53b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.63b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.02b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最新公布的资产负债表,航天智造有37.9亿人民币的债务在12个月内到期,并且有34540万人民币的债务在12个月后到期。除了这些债务,航天智造还有25.3亿人民币的现金和26.3亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其流动资产比总债务多出102亿人民币。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明航天智造可能能够轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未过度拉伸。简而言之,航天智造拥有比债务多的现金是一个良好的迹象,可证明其能够安全管理债务。

Another good sign is that Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

航天智造还有一个好的迹象是,其EBIT在过去12个月内增长了29%,这使得偿还债务更加容易。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的领域。但航天智造的盈利将影响资产负债表的未来情况,所以在考虑债务时,值得关注盈利趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last two years, Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务,它需要有现金。航天智造虽然在资产负债表上有净现金,但查看其将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力仍然值得一看,以帮助我们了解其正在快速积累(或腐蚀)现金的速度。在过去两年中,航天智造产生了相当稳定的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的54%,这与我们的预期相当。这种自由现金流使公司在适时偿还债务方面处于良好位置。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology has net cash of CN¥2.05b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 29% over the last year. So is Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然我们对担心债务的投资者表示同情,但您应该记住,航天智造目前拥有20.5亿元人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。并且它的税前息税盈利(EBIt)在过去一年增长了29%,这给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么,航天智造的债务是否构成风险?对我们来说似乎并非如此。毫无疑问,从资产负债表上我们能够了解到大部分关于债务的信息。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,相反,远非如此。例如,我们在投资航天智造之前发现了3个警示信号,您应该在此之前做好心理准备。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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