The Past Three Years for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
The Past Three Years for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600346) shareholders, since the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 31%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 13% in the same timeframe.
许多投资者将成功的投资定义为长期打败市场平均水平。但在任何投资组合中,股票可能会低于这个基准。不幸的是,对于长期持有恒力石化股份有限公司(SHSE:600346)的股东来说,情况就是如此,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了51%,远低于市场下跌的约31%。最近股价下跌加速,过去三个月下跌了12%。然而,可以认为股价受到了总体市场的影响,该市场在同一时间段下跌了13%。
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
现在让我们看看这家公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说,“船只会在世界各地航行,但是持平地球学会会蓬勃发展。在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差距……”评估公司周围情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Hengli PetrochemicalLtd became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.
恒力石化有限公司在过去五年内变得盈利。我们通常期望看到股价因此上升。所以值得关注其他指标来理解股价的波动。
We note that the dividend has declined - a likely contributor to the share price drop. In contrast it does not seem particularly likely that the revenue levels are a concern for investors.
我们注意到分红派息有所下降,这可能是股价下跌的原因之一。相比之下,营业收入水平似乎并不会引起投资者的关注。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. If you are thinking of buying or selling Hengli PetrochemicalLtd stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
值得注意的是,该公司的CEO薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管CEO的报酬值得关注,但真正重要的问题是该公司的盈利能否持续增长。如果您考虑购买或出售恒力石化股票,您应该查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -46%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
对于任何给定的股票来说,考虑股东总回报和股价回报都是很重要的。而股价回报只反映了股价的变化,TSR则包括了股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或拆分带来的好处。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。我们注意到,对于恒力石化股份有限公司来说,过去3年的TSR为-46%,这比上面提到的股价回报更好。不出所料,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Although it hurts that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd returned a loss of 1.4% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 16%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 2% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hengli PetrochemicalLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
尽管恒力石化在过去十二个月内回报率下跌了1.4%,但整个市场的表现更糟糕,回报率为-16%。 当然,长期回报更为重要,好消息是,在过去五年中,股票每年的回报率为2%。 可能业务只是面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。 了解股票价格的长期表现总是很有趣。 但要更好地了解恒力石化,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如:我们发现了2个对恒力石化的警告信号,您应该知道,其中一个有点不愉快。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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