Does Chongqing Changan Automobile (SZSE:000625) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Chongqing Changan Automobile (SZSE:000625) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (SZSE:000625) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希尔哈撒韦支持的外部基金经理李录(Charlie Munger)毫不掩饰地表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险性时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为过重的债务可能导致破产。正如许多其他公司一样,长安汽车公司(SZSE:000625)也利用了债务。但是股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它将生存在债权人的慈悲之下。 在最坏的情况下,公司如果无法偿还债权人,可能会破产。 然而,一个更常见的(但仍然耗费昂贵的)情况是,一个公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东以方便控制债务。 然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为企业的一种极好的工具,以便为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业提供资本。 当我们考虑一个公司使用债务时,我们首先要看现金和债务的情况。
What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile's Net Debt?
重庆长安汽车的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Chongqing Changan Automobile had debt of CN¥1.21b, up from CN¥1.13b in one year. However, it does have CN¥70.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥69.0b.
下面的图片(点击可放大)显示,截至2024年3月,重庆长安汽车的债务为12.1亿元,比一年前的11.3亿元增加。然而,它有702亿元的现金偿还,抵消了这笔债务,导致净现金为690亿元。
How Strong Is Chongqing Changan Automobile's Balance Sheet?
重庆长安汽车的资产负债表有多强大?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Chongqing Changan Automobile had liabilities of CN¥101.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥12.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥70.2b as well as receivables valued at CN¥38.5b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.09b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,重庆长安汽车一年内到期的负债为1019亿元,超过一年到期的负债为129亿元。与此同时,它有702亿元的现金以及385亿元的应收账款,期限为12个月内。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款总和多60.9亿元。
Since publicly traded Chongqing Changan Automobile shares are worth a very impressive total of CN¥103.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Chongqing Changan Automobile boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由于上市的重庆长安汽车股票总值为1033亿元,所以看起来这种程度的负债可能不会对其构成重大威胁。话虽如此,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以防情况变得更糟。尽管有显著的负债,但重庆长安汽车拥有净现金,所以可以说它负债不重!
Shareholders should be aware that Chongqing Changan Automobile's EBIT was down 63% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Chongqing Changan Automobile's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
股东们应该知道,重庆长安汽车去年的息税前利润下降了63%。如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,偿还债务将会如同把猫咪带上过山车一样困难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中可以了解到最多关于债务的信息。然而,未来的盈利,更甚于其他任何因素,将决定重庆长安汽车维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现分析师盈利预测的免费报告有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Chongqing Changan Automobile has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Chongqing Changan Automobile actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但债权人只接受冰冷的现金。虽然重庆长安汽车的资产负债表上有净现金,但我们仍然应该看一下它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它是如何迅速地积累(或侵蚀)现金余额的。在过去的三年里,重庆长安汽车实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIT更多。这种强大的现金转换让我们像大众舞曲发布时的人群那样兴奋。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Chongqing Changan Automobile has CN¥69.0b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 317% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥19b. So we don't have any problem with Chongqing Changan Automobile's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Chongqing Changan Automobile .
尽管查看公司的总负债是明智的,但令人放心的是,长安b现金净额达690亿人民币。最令人欣慰的是,将这笔利润转化为自由现金流,达到了EBIt的317%,带来190亿人民币。因此,我们对长安b的债务使用没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务的大部分内容。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。为此,您应该注意我们在长安b发现的3个警示信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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