Unfortunately for some shareholders, the The RealReal, Inc. (NASDAQ:REAL) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 15% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about RealReal's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does RealReal's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
RealReal hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think RealReal's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, RealReal would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.7% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 53% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% each year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 5.6% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that RealReal's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From RealReal's P/S?
Following RealReal's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that RealReal currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Having said that, be aware RealReal is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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