When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Costamare Inc. (NYSE:CMRE) as a highly attractive investment with its 4.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Costamare has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Costamare will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Costamare would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 90% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 5.5% each year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Costamare's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Costamare's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Costamare you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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