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Synopsys, Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Synopsys, Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Synopsys, Inc.刚刚录得14%的每股收益超预期:以下是分析师的预测
Simply Wall St ·  08/23 06:46

Last week saw the newest third-quarter earnings release from Synopsys, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNPS), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenues were US$1.5b, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$2.61 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 14%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

上周,Synopsys, Inc. (纳斯达克:SNPS)发布了最新的第三季度收益报告,这是公司发展壮大业务征程中的重要里程碑。营业收入为15亿美元,与预期大致相符,尽管法定每股收益(EPS)表现要好得多。每股收益为2.61美元,也好于预期,超出分析师的预测14%。对投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,他们可以跟踪公司的业绩报告,了解专家对明年的预测,并查看业务预期是否有任何变化。我们已收集了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师是否根据这些结果调整了盈利模型。

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NasdaqGS:SNPS Earnings and Revenue Growth August 23rd 2024
NasdaqGS:SNPS 2024年8月23日收益和营业收入增长

After the latest results, the 17 analysts covering Synopsys are now predicting revenues of US$6.94b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 7.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to step up 10% to US$10.89. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$6.89b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$10.65 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Synopsys' earnings potential following these results.

在最新的结果公布之后,对Synopsys进行覆盖的17名分析师目前预测2025年的营业收入将达到69.4亿美元。如果达成,这将反映出与过去12个月相比营业收入略有7.1%的改善。法定每股收益预计将提高10%至10.89美元。在此收益报告之前,分析师一直在预测2025年的营业收入将达到68.9亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为10.65美元。因此,一致看法似乎已经对Synopsys的盈利潜力变得更加乐观。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$644, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Synopsys analyst has a price target of US$694 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$490. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

一致预期价格目标为644美元并未出现重大变化,这表明改善的每股收益展望还不足以对股票估值产生长期积极影响。然而,还有另一种思考价格目标的方法,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的估计范围可能表明对业务可能结果的看法不一。最乐观的Synopsys分析师将股价目标设置为694美元,而最悲观的将其定为490美元。这些价格目标表明分析师对该业务有一些不同的看法,但估算并不足以表明有些人在赌博大获成功或彻底失败。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Synopsys' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 5.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 14% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 12% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Synopsys is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

现在来看一下大局,我们了解这些预测的方法之一是将其与过去的表现和行业增长预估进行比较。我们要特别指出,新思科技的营业收入增长预计将放缓,预测的年化增长率为5.6%,直到2025年结束,在过去五年里的历史增长14%每年的水平远远低于这个水平。与行业其他公司(带有分析师的预测)相比较,预计这些公司的营业收入每年将增长12%。考虑到预测的增长放缓,显然新思科技也预计比其他行业参与者增长缓慢。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Synopsys following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$644, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

这里最重要的是分析师调升了每股收益预测,这表明在这些业绩公布后,对新思科技的乐观情绪明显增加。好消息是,营业收入预测没有发生重大变化;尽管预测表明他们将表现不如整个行业。共识的目标股价保持在644美元,最新的预测不足以对他们的目标股价产生影响。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Synopsys going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

继续这个思路,我们认为公司的长期前景比明年的盈利更重要。我们对新思科技到2026年的预测,并且您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些预测。

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Synopsys , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

话虽如此,但仍然需要考虑投资风险的一贯存在。我们已经发现到与新思科技相关的1个警示信号,了解这一点应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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