We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CEG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大卫·伊本说得很好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。”当你考察一个公司的风险程度时,自然会考虑其资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时通常涉及债务。重要的是,康斯特拉能源公司(NASDAQ:CEG)确实有债务。但这些债务对股东来说是不是一个问题呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人,那么它就只能受制于债权人了。 创意毁灭是资本主义的一部分,失败的企业将被银行家无情地清算。 当然,债务在企业中可能是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。 当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先会考虑现金和债务的总和。
What Is Constellation Energy's Net Debt?
康斯特拉能源的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Constellation Energy had US$9.12b of debt, up from US$7.20b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$311.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$8.81b.
正如下图所示,在2024年6月底,康斯特拉能源的债务总额为91.2亿美元,较去年的72亿美元增加。点击图像以获取更多详细信息。然而,公司持有3,1100万美元的现金来抵消这一债务,从而导致净债务约为88.1亿美元。
How Healthy Is Constellation Energy's Balance Sheet?
康斯拓能源的资产负债表情况如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Constellation Energy had liabilities of US$5.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$33.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$311.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.79b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$36.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
从最新的资产负债表数据来看,康斯拓能源短期内有580亿美元的负债,而超过12个月到期的负债金额为338亿美元。与此同时,其现金为3.11亿美元,短期应收账款为279亿美元。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多出365亿美元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Constellation Energy has a huge market capitalization of US$61.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
虽然这个数额看起来很大,但康斯拓能源的市值达到了615亿美元,所以如果需要的话,它很可能通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。但显然我们需要仔细检查它是否能够管理好债务而不影响股东利益。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了比较一个公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆盖率)。因此,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量以及支付的利率。
Constellation Energy's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Notably, Constellation Energy's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 582% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Constellation Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
康斯拓能源的净债务相比EBITDA非常合理,为1.6倍,而上一年的EBIT则只覆盖了其利息支出的5.7倍。虽然这些数字并不引起我们的担忧,但值得注意的是,公司债务成本正对其产生真实的影响。值得注意的是,康斯拓能源的EBIT增长幅度高达582%,超过了埃隆·马斯克。在分析负债水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,企业的未来盈利能力将决定康斯拓能源是否能够逐步加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Constellation Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,我们始终要了解EBIT中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年里,康斯拓能源消耗了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期望这种情况能够逆转,但这显然意味着它使用债务的风险更高。
Our View
我们的观点
Neither Constellation Energy's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that Constellation Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that Constellation Energy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Constellation Energy that you should be aware of before investing here.
康斯蒂雷能源将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力以及其总负债的水平都没有让我们对其承担更多债务的能力产生信心。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松增长其EBIt。值得注意的是,康斯蒂雷能源在电力公用股业务中,这往往被认为是相当保守的。综合考虑上述数据点后,我们认为康斯蒂雷能源的债务使其有一定风险。并非所有的风险都是坏的,如果能够实现预期,它还可以提高股价回报,但这种债务风险值得记住。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中-远非如此。例如,在您在此处投资之前,我们已经发现了2个康斯蒂雷能源的预警信号,您应该注意这些信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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