B-SOFTLtd (SZSE:300451) Sheds CN¥417m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
B-SOFTLtd (SZSE:300451) Sheds CN¥417m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. For example, after five long years the B-SOFT Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300451) share price is a whole 62% lower. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 50% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 13% in the same timeframe.
一般来说,长期投资是正确的选择。但没有人能免受买入太高的影响。例如,经过五年,b-SOFt Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300451)的股价整体下跌了62%。这对真正的信徒来说并不是一件有趣的事情。我们怀疑长期的信徒不是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月下跌了50%。此外,股价在一个季度内下跌了23%。这对持有者来说并不有趣。然而,有人可能会说,股价受到了整体市场的影响,而该市场在同一时间范围内下跌了13%。
Since B-SOFTLtd has shed CN¥417m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由于b-SOFTLtd在过去7天内损失了人民币41700万元的价值,让我们看看长期的下跌是否受到了业务经济学的推动。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, B-SOFTLtd moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
在股价增长的五年期间,亿.SOFTLtd从亏损转为盈利。大多数人认为这是一件好事,所以看到股价下跌是令人费解的。其他指标可能更好地解释了股价的变动。
We don't think that the 0.3% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 2.3% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.
我们认为0.3%在股价中并不是一个重要因素,因为相比于分红,它相当小。与股价相反,营业收入在过去五年中实际上以每年2.3%的速度增长。因此,似乎需要更详细地了解基本面,以了解股价下跌的原因。毕竟,可能会有机会。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. You can see what analysts are predicting for B-SOFTLtd in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
值得注意的是,该公司的CEO的薪酬低于同样规模公司的中值。但是,虽然CEO的薪酬值得关注,但真正重要的问题是该公司未来能否增长收益。您可以在这个未来利润预测的互动图表中看到分析师对b-SOFTLtd的预测。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, B-SOFTLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 50% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for B-SOFTLtd you should be aware of.
尽管整个市场在过去的12个月中跌幅约为17%,亿.SOFTLtd的股东损失更大,损失了50%(包括分红)。然而,股价可能只是受到了整个市场的担忧影响。值得关注基本面情况,以寻找良机。不幸的是,去年的业绩可能表明仍存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个世纪的年化损失10%还要糟糕。一般而言,长期股价的疲软可能是一个不好的迹象,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股票,希望能够扭转局面。虽然考虑到市场环境对股价可能产生的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如:我们发现了b-SOFTLtd的一个警告信号,您应该注意到。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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