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We Think GRG Metrology & Test Group (SZSE:002967) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think GRG Metrology & Test Group (SZSE:002967) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为GRG计量测试集团(SZSE:002967)可以继续控制债务
Simply Wall St ·  08/23 18:32

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002967) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔哈撒韦的Charlie Munger支持的外部基金经理Li Lu明确表示:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动性,而在于你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致灭亡。 我们注意到GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002967) 在其资产负债表上确实有债务。 但更重要的问题是:这笔债务带来了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务能够帮助企业,直到企业无法用新资本或自由现金流支付债务。在最糟糕的情况下,如果企业无法偿还债权人,它可以破产。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东的所有权。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司合理地管理其债务-并且出于自身利益。考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is GRG Metrology & Test Group's Debt?

GRG Metrology & Test Group的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, GRG Metrology & Test Group had CN¥1.49b of debt, up from CN¥1.21b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.03b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥455.9m.

正如你在下面所看到的,在2024年6月底,GRG Metrology & Test Group的债务为14.9亿人民币,而去年同期为12.1亿人民币。点击图像以获取更多详细信息。然而,它确实有10.3亿人民币的现金抵消了这一数额,导致净债务约为4559万元人民币。

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SZSE:002967 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024
SZSE:002967的债务股权历史(2024年8月23日)

How Strong Is GRG Metrology & Test Group's Balance Sheet?

GRG Metrology & Test Group的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that GRG Metrology & Test Group had liabilities of CN¥1.64b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥934.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.03b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.82b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥280.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,GRG Metrology & Test Group在一年内有16.4亿人民币的负债,并且在此之后有93420万人民币的到期负债。抵消这些义务,它有10.3亿人民币的现金和18.2亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多28040万人民币。

This surplus suggests that GRG Metrology & Test Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

这种盈余表明GRG Metrology & Test Group具有保守的资产负债表,很可能可以轻松消除其债务。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。

GRG Metrology & Test Group's net debt is only 0.90 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 21.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, GRG Metrology & Test Group grew its EBIT by 37% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GRG Metrology & Test Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

GRG Metrology & Test Group的净债务仅为EBITDA的0.90倍。而其EBIt的规模是利息费用的21.0倍,所以我们对其超保守的债务使用非常放心。除此之外,GRG Metrology & Test Group在过去十二个月里将其EBIt增长了37%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的关于债务的信息最多。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定GRG Metrology & Test Group能否随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, GRG Metrology & Test Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,虽然税务部门可能崇拜会计利润,但借款人只接受现金。所以我们总是检查有多少EBIt转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,GRG Metrology & Test Group烧掉了很多现金。尽管投资者无疑希望这种情况会逆转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更加冒险。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, GRG Metrology & Test Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like GRG Metrology & Test Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with GRG Metrology & Test Group .

幸好,GRG计量与测试集团令人印象深刻的利息偿付能力意味着它在债务方面占据上风。 但严峻的事实是,我们对其将息前税息与自由现金流的转化表示担忧。 当我们考虑以上一系列因素时,看起来GRG计量与测试集团在使用债务方面相当明智。虽然这带来一些风险,但也可以提升股东的回报。 当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。 因此,你应该对我们在GRG计量与测试集团发现的1个警示标志保持警惕。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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