We Think Dada Nexus (NASDAQ:DADA) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth
We Think Dada Nexus (NASDAQ:DADA) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
毫无疑问,拥有亏损企业的股票可以获利。例如,虽然软件即服务业务Salesforce.com在增长持续性收入时多年亏损,但如果您从2005年开始持有股票,您会非常成功。然而,仅有愚蠢之人才会忽视亏损企业烧光现金的风险。
So should Dada Nexus (NASDAQ:DADA) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
那么,达达集团(纳斯达克:DADA)的股东应该担心现金燃烧吗? 本文的目的是,我们将现金燃烧定义为公司每年用于资助其增长的现金金额(也称为负自由现金流)。让我们从业务现金与其现金燃烧的关系开始。
Does Dada Nexus Have A Long Cash Runway?
达达集团是否有长期现金储备?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In June 2024, Dada Nexus had CN¥3.2b in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥388m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 8.2 years from June 2024. Importantly, though, analysts think that Dada Nexus will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
现金储备被定义为公司按照当前现金燃烧速度持续支出将耗尽资金的时间。2024年6月,达达集团拥有32亿人民币的现金,且没有债务。重要的是,其过去12个月的现金燃烧额为3.88亿元人民币。因此,从2024年6月开始,其现金储备约为8.2年。然而,分析师认为,达达集团在那之前就会实现盈利。在这种情况下,它可能永远不会耗尽现金储备。您可以在下图中看到其现金余额随时间的变化。
How Well Is Dada Nexus Growing?
达达集团的业务增长如何?
We reckon the fact that Dada Nexus managed to shrink its cash burn by 42% over the last year is rather encouraging. But the revenue dip of 2.6% in the same period was a bit concerning. Considering the factors above, the company doesn't fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
我们认为达达集团在过去一年成功将现金燃烧减少了42%是相当令人鼓舞的。但同期营业收入下降了2.6%,这有点令人担忧。考虑到以上因素,当评估其随时间变化时,公司的表现算不上糟糕。虽然过去总是值得研究的,但最重要的是未来。因此,您可能想要窥探一下公司未来几年预计的增长情况。
How Hard Would It Be For Dada Nexus To Raise More Cash For Growth?
达达集团要为扩张筹集更多现金有多难?
We are certainly impressed with the progress Dada Nexus has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
我们对达达集团过去一年取得的进展印象深刻,但值得考虑的是,如果公司想要筹集更多现金以促进更快的增长,这将会有多大代价。公司可以通过债务或股权筹集资本。通常情况下,公司会出售自身的新股份以筹集现金并推动增长。我们可以将公司的现金燃烧情况与其市值进行比较,从而了解公司需要发行多少新股份才能资助一年的运营。
Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.2b, Dada Nexus' CN¥388m in cash burn equates to about 17% of its market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
由于达达集团的市值为22亿人民币,而其3.88亿人民币的现金燃烧约占其市值的17%。因此,我们认为公司可以毫不费力地筹集更多现金用于扩张,尽管会有一定程度的稀释。
So, Should We Worry About Dada Nexus' Cash Burn?
那么,我们应该担心达达集团的现金燃烧吗?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Dada Nexus is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dada Nexus that you should be aware of before investing.
可能已经明显,我们对达达集团的现金燃烧方式相对较为满意。特别是,我们认为其现金耗尽时间凸显出公司在控制支出方面表现出色。尽管营业收入下滑并不理想,但本文中提到的其他因素已经大大弥补了这一指标的不足。看到分析师们预计公司很快将实现盈亏平衡,显然非常积极。综合考虑本文中的一系列因素,我们对公司的现金燃烧相当放心,因为公司似乎处于继续资助其增长的良好位置。在深入研究风险的情况下,我们已经发现关于达达集团的1个警示信号,您在投资之前应该注意。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies with significant insider holdings, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
当然,您也可以通过在其他地方寻找找到出色的投资机会。因此,请查看具有重要内部股权的公司的免费列表,以及此分析师预测的股票成长列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。