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Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's (SHSE:688612) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's (SHSE:688612) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

深圳VMAX新能母基(SHSE:688612)的盈利比看上去要弱。
Simply Wall St ·  08/24 20:05

Shenzhen VMAX New Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688612) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

深圳新能母基有限公司(SHSE:688612)强劲的盈利报告未能推动其股票的市场。我们进行了一些调查,并在细节中发现了一些令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:688612 Earnings and Revenue History August 25th 2024
SHSE:688612盈利和营业收入历史2024年8月25日

Examining Cashflow Against Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's Earnings

审查深圳新能母基的现金流与盈利相比

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一项关键财务比率是应计比率。要获得应计比率,我们首先将某一时期的FCF从利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期平均经营资产。您可以将来自现金流的应计比率视为“非FCF获利比例”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为零以上的事情无关紧要,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计越高的公司未来利润率越低”。

For the year to June 2024, Shenzhen VMAX New Energy had an accrual ratio of 0.43. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥506.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥79m in the last year. We also note that Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥79m.

2024年6月止的一年时间里,深圳新能母基的应计比例为0.43。通常情况下,这对未来的盈利能力不利。事实上,在这段时间内,该公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管它报告了人民币50630万的利润,但自由现金流的情况显示,该公司实际上在过去一年里亏损了人民币7900万。我们还注意到,深圳新能母基去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,所以我们可以理解如果股东对其7900万人民币的流出感到困扰。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's Profit Performance

我们对深圳华量新能源盈利表现的观点

As we discussed above, we think Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Shenzhen VMAX New Energy as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen VMAX New Energy (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

正如我们上面讨论的,我们认为深圳华量新能源的盈利不由自由现金流支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为深圳华量新能源的法定利润可能不能正确反映其基本盈利能力,并可能给投资者一种过于乐观的印象。但是,好的方面是,其每股盈利在过去三年中增长了一个极为令人印象深刻的速度。归根结底,如果您想正确了解该公司,不仅仅要考虑以上因素。如果您想更了解作为一家企业的深圳华量新能源,了解其面临的任何风险非常重要。为此,您应该了解我们在深圳华量新能源发现的2个警示信号(其中有一个使我们有些不舒服)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shenzhen VMAX New Energy's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们聚焦一项数据点,以更好地了解深圳华量新能源的利润性质。但是,如果您能专注于细枝末节,还有很多可以发现的。例如,许多人认为高股本回报是良好商业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢“追踪资金”,寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股本回报公司集合或者这个拥有重要内部持股的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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