SICC Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
SICC Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
SICC Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688234) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.9% to CN¥47.25 in the week after its latest second-quarter results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of CN¥486m were what the analysts expected, SICC surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of CN¥0.13 per share, an impressive 66% above what was forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
上周SICC股票(SHSE:688234)下跌3.9%,至47.25元人民币,股东可能感到有些失望。总体来看,这是一个可信的结果—尽管销售额达到了4.86亿元人民币,与分析师预期一致,但SICC交付了每股0.13元人民币的(法定)盈利,比预期高出66%。盈利是投资者关注的重要时刻,他们可以追踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,并了解市场对该公司的观感是否发生了变化。有鉴于此,我们汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师对明年的预期。
Following the latest results, SICC's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥2.26b in 2024. This would be a substantial 31% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 41% to CN¥0.42. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.14b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.41 in 2024. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
根据最新的结果,SICC的十位分析师预测2024年营业收入将达到22.6亿元人民币,较过去12个月增长31%。每股盈利预计将增长41%,达到0.42元人民币。然而,在最新财报之前,分析师预计2024年的营业收入为21.4亿元,每股盈利为0.41元人民币。看起来,最新财报后有一些情绪上的提高,分析师对营业收入和盈利的预测变得更加乐观。
Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of CN¥65.00, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on SICC, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥95.00 and the most bearish at CN¥39.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
尽管分析师们提高了盈利预测,但对于SICC的目标股价仍然维持在65.00元人民币,表明预测绩效对公司的估值没有长期影响。此外,分析师估值范围的差异也是一个指导性参考,可以评估离群观点与平均水平的差异有多大。对于SICC存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师估值为95.00元人民币,最看淡的为39.00元人民币每股。这是一个相当大的预测范围,表明分析师对该业务的可能结果有着广泛的预测。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that SICC's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 72% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 148% growth over the last year. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 22% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that SICC is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
当然,另一种看待这些预测的方式是将它们与行业本身进行对比。我们要强调的是,SICC的营业收入增长预期将放缓,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为72%,远低于去年148%的历史增长率。将其与行业其他有分析师覆盖的公司进行对比,这些公司的预测年度营收增长率为22%(总体预测)。即使在预测增长放缓之后,很明显SICC的增长速度也超过了整个行业。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around SICC's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
对我们来说,最重要的是共识每股收益的上调,这表明了对SICC明年收益潜力的明确改善态度。令人高兴的是,他们还提高了他们的营业收入预测,并预测其增长速度将超过整个行业。共识价格目标没有实质性变化,这表明公司的内在价值在最新的估计中没有发生重大变化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple SICC analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
有必要指出的是,公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年的情况更为重要。我们得到了2026年的估计-来自多个SICC分析师-您可以在我们的平台上免费查看它们。
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for SICC that you need to take into consideration.
值得注意的是,我们发现了1个关于SICC的警示征兆,您需要考虑进去。
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