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Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

华东医药有限公司(SZSE:000963)的基本面看起来相当强劲:市场对该股是否存在错误看法?
Simply Wall St ·  08/24 20:49

It is hard to get excited after looking at Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.9% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Huadong Medicine's ROE.

华东医药(SZSE:000963)最近表现不佳,股价在过去三个月下跌了4.9%,这让人难以激动起来。然而,股价通常受到公司长期的财务情况的影响,在这种情况下,华东医药的财务情况看起来相当可观。在本文中,我们决定关注华东医药的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huadong Medicine is:

因此,根据上述公式,华东医药的roe为13%。

14% = CN¥3.1b ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

14% = CN¥31亿 ÷ CN¥220亿(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.14 in profit.

“回报”是每年的利润。一个理解这个概念的方法是,对于每1元的股东资本,公司获得了0.14元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了公司有效地利用其利润的能力。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润量以及公司再投资利润的效果,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般来说,其他条件相同,ROE高和盈利保留公司的成长率比没有这些属性的公司更高。

Huadong Medicine's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

华东医药的盈利增长和14%的roe

To begin with, Huadong Medicine seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.4%. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Huadong Medicine in the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,华东医药的roe似乎是可观的。此外,该公司的roe与行业平均水平6.4%相比相当有利。然而,我们对过去五年华东医药高回报却导致增长平稳的原因感到好奇。根据这一点,我们觉得可能还有其他原因在这篇文章中尚未讨论,可能影响了该公司的增长。例如,该公司将其收益的一大部分作为股息支付,或者面临竞争压力。

As a next step, we compared Huadong Medicine's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 5.1% in the same period.

作为下一步,我们将华东医药的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现行业在同一时期的平均增长率为5.1%。

1724546983245
SZSE:000963 Past Earnings Growth August 25th 2024
SZSE:000963 过去的盈利增长 2024年8月25日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Huadong Medicine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

给公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者需要判断的是预期的盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中,这有助于他们判断股票未来是光明还是暗淡。如果你想了解华东医药的估值,请查看其市盈率的表现,与同行业相比。

Is Huadong Medicine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

华东医药是否有效利用了保留利润?

Huadong Medicine has a low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (or a retention ratio of 79%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

华东医药的三年中位数派息比率为21%(或留存比率为79%),但微不足道的盈利增长数字并未反映出这一点,因为通常高利润留存会在高增长之后出现。

Additionally, Huadong Medicine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 33% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,华东医药在至少十年的时间内支付了股息,这意味着公司管理层决心支付股息,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。从当前分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看到公司未来的派息比率预计将在未来三年上升到33%。然而,尽管预期派息比率较高,公司的roe预计变化不大。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Huadong Medicine has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来看,华东医药的业务确实有一些积极因素。然而,考虑到高ROE和高利润保留,我们本希望公司能够交出强劲的盈利增长,但事实并非如此。这表明可能存在一些外部威胁,阻碍了其增长。即便如此,根据目前的分析师预测,我们发现公司的盈利增长率预计将会有巨大改善。这些分析师的预期是基于行业广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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