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These 4 Measures Indicate That CRRC (SHSE:601766) Is Using Debt Safely

These 4 Measures Indicate That CRRC (SHSE:601766) Is Using Debt Safely

这4项措施表明中国中车(SHSE:601766)正安全地利用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  08/25 20:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, CRRC Corporation Limited (SHSE:601766) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人认为,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险的同义词”。因此,看起来明智的投资者知道,评估一家公司的风险有多重要时,债务是一个非常重要的因素,因为债务通常与破产有关。重要的是,中国中车股份有限公司(SHSE:601766)确实有债务。但这个债务是否会引起股东的担忧呢?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债务,那么它就处于债权人的掌握之中。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是一家公司必须以低价发行股票来稳定其资产负债表,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它代替稀释的公司具有以高回报率进行再投资的能力时。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,首先要考虑其现金和债务的总体情况。

What Is CRRC's Debt?

中国中车的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CRRC had CN¥14.9b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥32.4b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥55.5b in cash, leading to a CN¥40.6b net cash position.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但数据显示,CRRC于2024年6月的债务为149亿人民币,而一年前是324亿人民币。不过,另一方面,它也有555亿人民币的现金,从而形成了406亿人民币的净现金位置。

1724633708015
SHSE:601766 Debt to Equity History August 26th 2024
SHSE:601766的债务-股权历史记录截至2024年8月26日

How Healthy Is CRRC's Balance Sheet?

中国中车的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CRRC had liabilities of CN¥255.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥24.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥55.5b as well as receivables valued at CN¥158.0b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥66.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入了解最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到中国中车在12个月内到期的负债为2556亿人民币,超过12个月到期的负债为240亿人民币。 抵消这些责任,它拥有555亿人民币的现金以及价值1580亿人民币的应收账款。 因此,它的负债加起来比现金和短期应收账款还多661亿人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because CRRC is worth a massive CN¥217.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CRRC also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

这个赤字并不那么糟糕,因为中国中车的价值达到了2178亿人民币,因此可能能够筹集足够的资本来支持其资产负债表,如果有需要的话。 但我们绝对希望保持警惕,以防其债务带来过多的风险。 虽然它确实有值得关注的负债,但中国中车的现金比债务多,所以我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理其债务。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that CRRC has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CRRC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我们很高兴地报告说,中国中车通过提高息税折旧摊销前利润(EBIt)来降低未来债务偿还的风险。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。 但最终决定中国中车能否维持健康资产负债表的能力的更多是未来的盈利。 因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While CRRC has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, CRRC actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,尽管税务机关可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冷硬现金。 虽然中国中车的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得看一下其将息税折旧摊销前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它是如何迅速地积累(或侵蚀)现金余额的。 令股东们高兴的是,中国中车过去三年实际上产生比EBIT更多的自由现金流。 这种强劲的现金生成能力让我们像在蜜蜂服装里的小狗一样感到温暖。

Summing Up

总之

While CRRC does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥40.6b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥22b, being 142% of its EBIT. So we don't think CRRC's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with CRRC , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然中国中车的负债超过了流动资产,但它也有它约为406亿人民币的净现金。并且它以约为220亿人民币的自由现金流打动了我们,占其EBIt的142%。因此我们认为中国中车的债务使用并不具备风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都属于资产负债表 - 远非如此。我们已经发现了中国中车的1个警示,理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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