share_log

APEC Growth Projected At 3.5% Despite Ongoing Challenges

APEC Growth Projected At 3.5% Despite Ongoing Challenges

尽管面临持续的挑战,亚太经合组织的增长预计为3.5%。
Business Today ·  08/26 05:02

The APEC region is projected to maintain stable economic growth at 3.5 percent, showcasing resilience in the face of uncertainty and ongoing challenges.

APEC地域预计保持稳定的经济增长率为3.5%,展现出在不确定性和持续挑战面前的韧性。

According to the August update of the APEC Regional Trends Analysis, the region's gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by 3.5 percent in 2024, consistent with the growth rate observed in 2023.

根据APEC区域性趋势分析的8月更新,预计该地区的国内生产总值(GDP)将在2024年增长3.5%,与2023年观察到的增长率相一致。

However, a slight deceleration is anticipated for 2025, with growth expected to ease to 3.1 percent, marking an improvement from earlier projections in May of 2.9 percent, as noted in a release issued by the APEC Policy Support Unit received here on Monday.

然而,预计2025年将出现轻微减速,预计增长率将放缓至3.1%,这是一个改善,早些时候在5月发布的APEC政策支持小组的一份声明中指出的预测为2.9%。

Director of the APEC Policy Support Unit Carlos Kuriyama stated that the collective commitment to controlling inflation and adopting prudent monetary policies has been pivotal while growth rates may vary across the region.

APEC政策支持单元主任Carlos Kuriyama表示,控制通胀和采取审慎的货币政策的集体承诺是至关重要的,尽管增长率可能在地区各地有所不同。

"As we move forward, it is crucial that we remain vigilant and flexible, ensuring that our economies can weather future challenges and continue on a path of sustainable development," he said.

“在我们前进的过程中,我们必须保持警惕和灵活,确保我们的经济能够应对未来的挑战,继续走可持续发展之路,”他说。

APEC economies have seen significant success in moderating inflation, with the average inflation rate declining to 2.8 percent in June 2024, down from 5.9 percent in January 2023.

APEC经济体在控制通胀方面取得了显着的成功,2024年6月的平均通胀率从2023年1月的5.9%下降到2.8%。

This reduction underscores the effectiveness of the monetary policies implemented across the region.

这个降低突显了该地区实施的货币政策的有效性。

"Central banks in APEC have mostly maintained a cautious approach, avoiding premature rate reductions that could trigger capital flight and currency depreciation," according to Rhea C. Hernando, an analyst with the Policy Support Unit.

“在APEC中,中央银行主要采取谨慎的方法,避免过早降息可能引发资本外流和货币贬值,”Policy Support Unit的分析师Rhea C. Hernando说。

"As a result, APEC has seen the appreciation or slowing depreciation of 20 currencies against the US dollar in recent months," Hernando added.

结果,APEC近几个月看到了20种货币相对于美元的升值或减值幅度减缓。

Trade performance within the APEC region expanded, with merchandise exports in the first quarter of 2024 growing by 3.9 percent in volume and 1.6 percent in value as compared to the same period in 2023. This trend aligns with the anticipated global trade volume rebound of 3.1 percent in 2024.

APEC地区的贸易表现有所扩大,2024年第一季度商品出口量同比增长3.9%,价值增长1.6%。这一趋势与预期的2024年全球贸易量反弹3.1%相吻合。

"Additionally, domestic consumption has shown resilience, further bolstering economic optimism across the region," a researcher with the Policy Support Unit, Glacer Niño A. Vasquez, said.

此外,国内消费表现出韧性,进一步增强了整个地区的经济乐观情绪。

He noted that the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index across APEC economies remained steady, reflecting favorable manufacturing activity.

他指出,APEC经济体的制造业采购经理人指数保持稳定,反映了良好的制造业活动。

The report highlights that the region is currently grappling with increased trade tensions, which have led to a notable rise in trade restrictions and remedies, such as anti-dumping and countervailing duties.

报告强调,该地区目前正在应对日益加剧的贸易紧张局势,导致贸易限制措施和补救措施,如反倾销和补贴税的明显增加。

Persistent supply chain disruptions have also increased the cost and time of transporting goods across the border, putting additional pressure on prices.

持续的供应链中断也增加了跨境货物的成本和时间,给价格带来了额外的压力。

Strategic economic policies and international cooperation are expected to play a crucial role in navigating these issues.

战略经济政策和国际合作预计在应对这些问题中起着关键作用。

APEC economies are encouraged to adjust monetary policy carefully, rebuild fiscal buffers, and explore policy alternatives that enhance trade relations without restricting trade and investment.

鼓励APEC经济体谨慎调整货币政策,重建财政缓冲,探索在不限制贸易和投资的情况下增进贸易关系的政策替代方案。

"The steady growth we are witnessing across the APEC region, despite global uncertainties, is a testament to the resilience and adaptability of our economies," Kuriyama stated.

库里山表示:尽管全球存在不确定性,但亚太经合组织(APEC)地区持续增长是我们经济的适应性和韧性的证明。

"As we continue to navigate complex challenges, APEC's commitment to sound economic policies and regional cooperation will be critical in sustaining this momentum and fostering long-term prosperity," he said.

他说:“在我们持续应对复杂挑战的同时,APEC对稳健的经济政策和地区合作的承诺将对维持这一势头和促进长期繁荣至关重要。”

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发