With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.2x Aptiv PLC (NYSE:APTV) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Aptiv as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aptiv.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Aptiv's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 304% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 278% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 13% per year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% per year.
With this information, we are not surprised that Aptiv is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Aptiv's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Aptiv maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Aptiv is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
If you're unsure about the strength of Aptiv's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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