Exxon Bets Big On Oil: Expects Crude Demand To Defy Green Transition
Exxon Bets Big On Oil: Expects Crude Demand To Defy Green Transition
This increase is the result of the world's shifting energy mix toward unconventional sources of oil and natural gas.Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) shares are trading higher on Monday. In its latest global oil outlook, the company stated that it expects crude demand to remain above 100 million barrels per day through 2050.
埃克森美孚公司（纽交所：XOM）股价周一上涨。在最新的全球石油展望中，该公司表示预计原油需求将持续到2050年每日超过10000万桶。
Exxon's projected stronger demand supports its ambitious production growth plans, and it projects that oil demand will plateau beyond 2030.
埃克森预计更强劲的需求将支持其雄心勃勃的生产增长计划，并预计油需求将在2030年后趋于平缓。
The outlook reflects a natural decline in oil production of about 15% per year, nearly double the IEA's previous estimate of 8%.
该展望反映了每年约15%的石油产量自然下降，几乎是IEA先前8%估计的两倍。
This increase is the result of the world's shifting energy mix toward unconventional sources of oil and natural gas.
这种增长是世界能源结构向非传统石油和天然气源转变的结果。
Exxon says that, without new investments, global oil supplies could drop by over 15 million barrels per day in the first year, potentially falling to under 30 million barrels per day by 2030, leaving a 70 million barrel daily shortfall.
埃克森表示，如果没有新投资，全球石油供应可能在第一年减少超过1500万桶，到2030年可能下降到不到3000万桶，导致每日缺口7000万桶。
Exxon projects that electric vehicles will have a minimal impact on long-term global oil demand and adds that "If every new car sold in the world in 2035 were electric, oil demand in 2050 would still be 85 million barrels per day."
埃克森预测，电动汽车对长期全球石油需求影响微乎其微，并补充说“如果2035年世界上每辆新销售的汽车都是电动汽车，到2050年的石油需求仍将为8500万桶。”
Exxon Economics, Energy and Strategic Planning Director Chris Birdsall told Reuters, "Oil and gas demand have a very, very long runway and will continue to grow over the next few years."
埃克森经济、能源和战略规划董事克里斯·伯德萨尔告诉路透社：“石油和天然气需求有一个非常漫长的发展期，并将在未来几年继续增长。”
He added, "Global oil and natural gas supplies would virtually disappear without continued investments."
他补充说：“如果没有持续的投资，全球石油和天然气供应将几乎消失。”
"The biggest reason for the change is the shift to more short-cycle unconventional assets."
变化的最大原因是转向更多的短周期非常规资产。
As per Reuters report, Exxon's outlook on global carbon emissions is more cautious than BP p.l.c. 's (NYSE:BP), with significant reductions expected post-2029, compared to BP's mid-decade target.
据路透社报道，埃克森对全球碳排放的预期比BP有限公司更为谨慎，预计在2029年后会有显著的减少，而BP的减排目标则在中期。
Exxon plans to produce 4.3 million barrels of oil and gas daily this year—30% more than Chevron Corporation's (NYSE:CVX) current output—while BP aims to cut its production to around 2 million barrels per day by 2030.
埃克森计划今年日产430万桶石油和天然气，比雪佛龙公司当前产量高出30%，而BP则计划到2030年将产量削减到约200万桶/日。
Read: Arbitration To Uncover Hidden Value Of Hess' Guyana Oil Assets In Exxon Mobil vs. Chevron Dispute: Report
阅读：仲裁将揭示赫斯在埃克森美孚与雪佛龙争端中的圭亚那油资产的隐藏价值。
Investors can gain exposure to the XOM via Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLE) and IShares U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:IYE).
投资者可以通过能源选择板块SPDR基金（纽交所：XLE）和ishares安硕美国能源etf（纽交所：IYE）获得对埃克森美孚的投资。
Also Read: Exxon Mobil Reduces Staff After Pioneer Merger: Report
还阅读：在先锋能源合并后，埃克森美孚裁员。
Price Action: XOM shares are up 0.63% at $117.05 at the last check Monday.
股票动态：XOm股价在上周一最后一次查询时上涨0.63%，至117.05美元。
Photo: Del Henderson Jr. via Shutterstock
图片： Del Henderson Jr.通过shutterstock
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