Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's (SZSE:301538) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's (SZSE:301538) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Despite announcing strong earnings, Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co., Ltd's (SZSE:301538) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
尽管宣布了强劲的盈利,但深圳捷达德科技新材料股份有限公司(SZSE:301538)的股票走势疲软。我们的分析发现了一些令人担忧的因素,我们相信市场可能会关注这些因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's Earnings
分析现金流与深圳捷达德科技新材料收益对比
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高金融中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是计提比率(从现金流量中)。要获取计提比率,我们首先需要将一个期间的自由现金流减去利润,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们公司的利润超过了其FCF。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的更多。虽然拥有正的应计比率并不是问题,表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率可能是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润不能得到现金流支持。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长率。
For the year to June 2024, Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material had an accrual ratio of 0.34. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥169.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥37m in the last year. It's worth noting that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material generated positive FCF of CN¥17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年6月,深圳捷达德科技新材料的应计比率为0.34。因此我们可以推断其自由现金流远远不足以覆盖其法定利润,这意味着我们在给予后者很大重视之前可能需要三思。虽然其报告了1.69亿人民币的利润,但查看自由现金流表明它实际上在过去一年中烧掉了0.37亿人民币。值得注意的是,深圳捷达德科技新材料在一年前产生了0.17亿人民币的正自由现金流,所以至少他们过去做到了。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处进入我们对深圳捷达德科技新材料财务状况的分析。
Our Take On Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's Profit Performance
关于深圳捷迪德科技新材料利润表现的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
正如我们已经明确表明的那样,我们有点担心深圳捷迪德科技新材料没有用自由现金流支撑去年的利润。因此,我们认为深圳捷迪德科技新材料的法定利润可能不能很好地反映其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者过分乐观的印象。但值得一提的是,其每股收益在过去三年增长速度非常令人印象深刻。本文的目标是评估我们能否依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多要考虑的地方。如果您想更深入地了解深圳捷迪德科技新材料,还需了解它目前面临的风险。在进行分析时,我们发现深圳捷迪德科技新材料有2个警示信号,忽视它们是不明智的。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
本说明仅观察了揭示深圳捷迪德科技新材料利润本质的一个因素。但如果您能够将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多发现。一些人认为股东权益回报率高是优质企业的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高股东权益回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者这些拥有高内部持股的股票清单。
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