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Is Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical (SZSE:300316) A Risky Investment?

Is Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical (SZSE:300316) A Risky Investment?

浙江精盛机电(SZSE:300316)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  08/26 20:01

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300316) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是您是否会遭受资本永久损失。” 当您考虑一家公司的风险性时,自然会考虑其资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时往往涉及债务。 浙江景盛机电股份有限公司(SZSE:300316)与许多其他公司一样利用了债务。 但这种债务是否令股东担忧呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还贷款,那么它将由放贷人摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以控制企业。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是企业必须以跳楼式价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,以弥补资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务-对自身有利。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务考虑在一起。

What Is Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's Net Debt?

浙江景盛机电的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical had CN¥2.00b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.69b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥2.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥935.8m.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年6月,浙江景盛机电的债务为20亿人民币,比一年前的16.9亿增加了。 但它持有现金29.3亿人民币,抵消了这笔债务,导致净现金为9358万人民币。

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SZSE:300316 Debt to Equity History August 27th 2024
SZSE:300316 资产负债率历史记录截至2024年8月27日

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's Balance Sheet?

浙江京盛机电的资产负债表健康状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical had liabilities of CN¥15.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.43b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.93b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.68b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥7.32b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,浙江京盛机电的短期负债为155亿人民币,长期负债为14.3亿人民币。与此同时,它还有29.3亿人民币的现金和66.8亿人民币的应收款项,将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的组合多73.2亿人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical is worth CN¥30.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于浙江京盛机电的市值为304亿人民币,因此,如果需要,它可能有足够的资本来加固其资产负债表。然而,仍值得密切关注其偿还债务的能力。虽然它确实有一笔值得注意的负债,但浙江京盛机电的现金超过了债务,所以我们相当有信心它能够安全地处理债务。

Also positive, Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另外,浙江京盛机电去年EBIT增长了25%,这应该使其更容易偿还债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定浙江京盛机电能否随着时间推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。虽然浙江京盛机电在其资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注其将利润(利息和税前利润)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度构建(或侵蚀)现金余额。在过去三年中,浙江京盛机电总计录得负自由现金流。债务通常更昂贵,而且几乎总是更具风险,对于负自由现金流的公司而言尤其如此。股东们应该希望能有所改善。

Summing Up

总之

Although Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥935.8m. And we liked the look of last year's 25% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然浙江景盛机电的资产负债表并不特别强势,由于总负债的原因,看到它有净现金93580万人民币真的是非常正面的。另外,我们也很喜欢去年25%的息税前利润增长率。所以,我们对浙江景盛机电的债务使用没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们通过资产负债表了解债务的大部分信息。然而,并非所有投资风险都源自资产负债表-远非如此。例如,我们在浙江景盛机电发现了2个警示信号(其中1个让我们有点不舒服!),在您投资此公司之前,您应该了解这些。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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