Does Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology (SHSE:688676) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology (SHSE:688676) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688676) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(Charlie Munger的支持者)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是您是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 当您评估某家企业的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往与企业倒闭有关。 我们可以看到海南金盼智能科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688676)确实在其业务中使用债务。 但这种债务是否会对股东构成担忧呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当企业无法轻松履行债务,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本,债务和其他负债都会对企业造成风险。 最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么都得不到。 然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以低价发行股票,永久稀释股东的权益,以强化其资产负债表。 当然,很多公司使用债务进行增长融资,并没有产生任何负面后果。 当我们评估债务水平时,首先要考虑现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Net Debt?
海南金盼智能科技的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology had debt of CN¥1.41b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.48b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥747.7m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥658.1m.
下面的图片(点击可放大)显示,截至2024年6月底,海南金盼智能科技的债务为14.1亿人民币,比一年前的14.8亿人民币有所减少。 但由于其现金储备为74770万人民币,其净债务较小,约为65810万人民币。
How Strong Is Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Balance Sheet?
海南金盘智能科技的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.91b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥677.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥747.7m in cash and CN¥3.30b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥545.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们发现海南金盘智能科技有人民币391亿元的应付债务,其中12个月内到期,67790万元的超过此期限的应付债务。 抵消这一点的是,它有7.477亿元的现金和33亿元的应收账款,其中12个月内到期。 因此,其负债总额超过其现金和短期应收账款的组合金额5457万元。
Of course, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
当然,海南金盘智能科技的市值为139亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。 但是,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能随着时间而变化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 28.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology grew its EBIT by 82% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
海南金盘智能科技的净债务与EBITDA比率仅为0.78。 而其EBIt轻松覆盖了利息支出,规模为28.9倍。 因此,你可以说它受债务威胁并不比大象受老鼠威胁更多。 此外,海南金盘智能科技在过去十二个月内将其EBIt增长了82%,这种增长将使其更容易应对债务。 分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定海南金盘智能科技是否能够随时间加强其资产负债表。 如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份跟踪分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我们最终的考虑也非常重要,因为公司无法用纸质利润支付债务,它需要有现金,而且还需要足够的现金。因此,检查有多少EBIT由自由现金流支持具有一定的价值。在过去的三年中,海南金盘智能技术花了很多现金。虽然投资者无疑期望这种情况会在不久的将来逆转,但显然这意味着它使用的债务更加风险。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
好消息是,海南金盆智能科技公司展示了用其EBIt支付利息的能力,就像小孩为小狗撒娇一样让我们非常开心。 但我们必须承认,它将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力产生了相反的效果。 综合考虑所有上述因素,我们认为海南金盆智能科技能够相对轻松地处理其债务。 借贷杠杆的好处是可以增加股东回报,但潜在的风险是更大的损失风险,因此值得监控资产负债表。 当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。 然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。 例如,我们认为海南金盆智能科技公司有4个警示信号(其中1个可能相当严重),我们认为你应该了解这些信息。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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