Earnings Growth of 6.3% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (SZSE:300760) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 6.3% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (SZSE:300760) Shareholders
No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300760) is down 28% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -25% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 31% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 12% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
当股票亏损时,没人会喜欢。但当市场走低时,很可能会有一些失败者。深圳迈瑞医疗电子股份有限公司(SZSE:300760)在过去三年下跌了28%,但如果包括分红派息,股东总回报率为-25%。这比过去三年市场的31%下降要好。最近股价下跌加速,过去三个月下降了21%。当然,这个股价走势很可能受到了更广泛市场的12%下跌影响。
After losing 6.1% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在过去一周失去了6.1%之后,值得调查该公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的话,“船只会在世界各地航行,但扁平地球协会将空前盛行。市场上的价格和价值将继续存在巨大差异… ”检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 20% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在不幸的三年股价下跌期间,深圳迈瑞医疗电子实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年提高20%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑EPS并不是在该期间业务表现的良好指南(可能是由于一次性损失或收益)。或者过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 17% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
我们注意到,在过去三年中,营业收入实际上以17%的年增长率增长,这似乎不是卖出股份的理由。值得进一步调查深圳迈瑞医疗;虽然我们在这项分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能存在机会。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
你可以在下面的图片中看到收入和营业收入随时间的变化情况(单击图表可查看精确值)。
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. You can see what analysts are predicting for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
迈瑞医疗是一只知名股票,有很多分析师的覆盖,表明对未来增长有一定的透明度。您可以在未来利润预估的互动图表中查看分析师对迈瑞医疗的预测。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics' TSR for the last 3 years was -25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报之外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。 TSR将任何拆股或折价的增资价值以及任何分红包括在内,基于分红再投资的假设。可以说,TSR提供了一种更全面的股票带来的回报图片。事实上,过去三年深圳迈瑞医疗的TSR为-25%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付导致的!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Although it hurts that Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics returned a loss of 11% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 6%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics you should know about.
虽然迈瑞医疗电子在过去的十二个月中亏损了11%,这让人很痛心,但整个市场的表现实际上更糟糕,亏损达到16%。长期投资者可能不会那么难过,因为在过去五年中,他们每年可以赚取6%的回报。在最好的情况下,过去一年只是通往更光明未来的暂时波动。我发现从长期来看股价作为业务表现的一个代用指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,要考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了一项对于迈瑞医疗电子来说值得关注的警示信号您应该知道。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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