There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's (SZSE:002691) Earnings
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's (SZSE:002691) Earnings
Unsurprisingly, Jikai Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002691) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
冀凯股份有限公司(SZSE:002691)的股价在其健康的收益报告的推动下保持强势。然而,我们的分析表明股东可能忽视了一些指标,表明收益结果并不像看起来那么好。
Zooming In On Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Earnings
聚焦冀凯股份的盈利
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高金融领域中,用于衡量公司如何将申报利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以公司在该期间平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们有多少公司的利润不是由自由现金流支撑的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当一个公司应记比率为负数时,实际上这被视为一件好事,而如果该比率为正数则被视为一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心正的应记比率,但值得注意的是,当应计比率相当高时,引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文"高应计的公司未来的盈利能力较差"。
Jikai Equipment Manufacturing has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥137m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥21.3m. Given that Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥137m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
从2024年6月看,冀凯股份的应计比率为-0.13。这表明其自由现金流要远远超过其法定利润。事实上,去年它的自由现金流为13700万人民币,远远超过其法定利润的2130万人民币。考虑到冀凯股份在上一个相应期间内的负自由现金流,过去12个月的13700万人民币的结果似乎是朝着正确的方向迈出的一步。然而,这还不是考虑的全部。我们可以看到非常规项目对其法定利润产生了影响,因此对应计比率也产生了影响。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处可以查看我们对冀凯股份资产负债表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
Surprisingly, given Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥26m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
冀凯装备制造的应计比率表明其现金转换强劲,其账面利润实际上被2600万人民币的飞凡项目提振。我们无法否认更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目一般都是一次性的。这也是情理之中,因为这些提振被描述为“飞凡”。相对于2024年6月的利润,冀凯装备制造的飞凡项目贡献相当可观。其他条件相等的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润成为核心盈利能力的不良指导。
Our Take On Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Profit Performance
我们对冀凯装备制造的利润表现的看法
In conclusion, Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Jikai Equipment Manufacturing, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.
总之,冀凯装备制造的应计比率表明其法定盈利质量良好,但另一方面,利润被飞凡项目提振。考虑了这些因素后,我们认为冀凯装备制造的法定利润并未对业务形成过度苛刻的看法。如果您想深入了解冀凯装备制造,还需了解其当前面临的风险。为此,我们发现了3个警示信号(1个不容忽视!),在购买冀凯装备制造的任何股票之前,您应该了解这些风险。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在这篇文章中,我们已经探讨了许多因素,这些因素可能会影响利润数字作为企业指南的实用性。但还有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。有人认为股本回报率高是一个高质量企业的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要一些你自己的研究,但你可能会发现这个免费的高股本回报率公司收藏,或者这个拥有重要内部持股的股票清单会很有用。
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