Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) Co., Ltd. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) Co., Ltd. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a good week for Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688567) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 3.9% to CN¥8.70. It was a solid earnings report, with revenues and earnings both coming in very strong. Revenues were 15% higher than the analysts had forecast, at CN¥4.0b, while the company also delivered a surprise statutory profit, against analyst expectations of a loss. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
对于法拉氏能源(赣州)有限公司(SHSE:688567)的股东来说,这是一个不错的一周,因为该公司刚刚发布了最新的季度业绩报告,股价上涨了3.9%,达到了8.70人民币。这是一份不错的盈利报告,营业收入和盈利均表现非常强劲。营业收入超出分析师预测的15%,达到了40亿人民币,同时该公司还交出了出乎意料的合规利润,打破了分析师预期的亏损。根据这一结果,分析师们已经更新了他们的盈利模型,我们想知道他们是否认为公司前景发生了巨大变化,还是一切如常。我们认为读者会发现有趣的是,看看分析师们对明年的回报(合规)的最新预测。
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After the latest results, the consensus from Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou)'s four analysts is for revenues of CN¥15.3b in 2024, which would reflect a noticeable 7.0% decline in revenue compared to the last year of performance. Earnings are expected to improve, with Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) forecast to report a statutory profit of CN¥0.28 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥16.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.28 in 2024. So it looks like the analysts have become a bit less optimistic after the latest results announcement, with revenues expected to fall even as the company is supposed to maintain EPS.
根据法拉氏能源(赣州)的四位分析师的一致意见,2024年的营业收入预计为153亿元,相比上一年度表现下降了7.0%。盈利有望改善,法拉氏能源(赣州)预计每股盈利为0.28元。在此次业绩报告发布之前,分析师们预测2024年的营业收入为161亿元,每股盈利为0.28元。因此,目前看来,分析师们在最新业绩公告后变得稍微不那么乐观,营收预计下滑,同时公司预计保持每股盈利。
It will come as no surprise then, that the consensus price target fell 21% to CN¥9.10following these changes. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥15.00 and the most bearish at CN¥7.70 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
因此,毫不奇怪,根据这些变动,共识目标价下降了21%,为9.10人民币。然而,这些数据并不是我们唯一可以从中得出的结论,因为在评估分析师的目标价时,一些投资者还喜欢考虑预测的跨度范围。关于法拉氏能源(赣州),有一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师将其估值为15.00人民币,最看淡的为7.70人民币。这是一个相当广泛的预测范围,表明分析师对于该企业的可能结果有着广泛的预测。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 14% annualised decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 54% over the last three years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 16% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) is expected to lag the wider industry.
现在从更大的角度来看,我们理解这些预测的一种方式是将其与过去的业绩和行业增长预期进行比较。我们要强调的是,预计营业收入将反转,到2024年底预计年复合增长率将下降14%。这是与过去三年54%的历史增长相比的显著变化。与此相比,我们的数据表明,同行业的其他公司预计年均收入增长16%。因此,尽管其收入预计会收缩,但这片云朵并没有银边——法雷赛斯能源(甘洲)预计将落后于整个行业。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Still, earnings are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
最重要的是要认识到情绪没有发生重大变化,分析师们重新确认该企业的业绩与他们之前的每股收益预期一致。不幸的是,他们还调降了营业收入的预期,而我们的数据显示相较于整个行业,该企业表现欠佳。即便如此,每股收益对企业的内在价值更为重要。此外,分析师们还下调了其目标价,这表明最新消息使得该企业的内在价值更为悲观。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
在此基础上,我们认为企业的长期前景比明年的盈利更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对法雷赛斯能源(甘洲)的分析师预测进行了充分的涵盖,包括到2026年的预测,并且您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些预测。
You can also see our analysis of Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou)'s Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
您还可以查看我们对法雷赛斯能源(甘洲)董事会和首席执行官的薪酬和经验的分析,以及公司内部人士是否一直在购买股票。
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