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Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

天士力药品集团有限公司刚刚超过了盈利预期:分析师们认为接下来会发生什么
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 18:42

Investors in Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:600535) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.2% to close at CN¥14.09 following the release of its second-quarter results. Revenues CN¥2.3b disappointed slightly, at8.6% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of CN¥0.24 coming in 14% above what was anticipated. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Tasly Pharmaceutical Group after the latest results.

天士力制药股份有限公司(SHSE:600535)的投资者度过了愉快的一周,其股票上涨了2.2% 至14.09元人民币,此前公布二季度业绩。营业收入为23亿元人民币,稍微低于分析师的预测值,低于8.6%。利润相对较好,每股收益为0.24元人民币,比预期值高出14%。分析师通常会在每份财报发布后更新其预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断他们对该公司的看法是否发生了变化,或者是否有任何新的关注点需要注意。读者们会很高兴得知,我们已经整合了最新的财报预测,以查看分析师在最新财报后对天士力制药股份有限公司是否改变了他们的看法。

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SHSE:600535 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024
SHSE:600535 2024年8月27日的盈利和营收增长

Following the latest results, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group's nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥9.11b in 2024. This would be a credible 5.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 16% to CN¥0.80. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥9.08b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.80 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

根据最新的财报结果,天士力制药股份有限公司的九位分析师预测2024年的营业收入将达到91.1亿元人民币,相比过去12个月增长了5.4%。预计每股收益将增长16%,达到0.80元人民币。在此份财报发布前,分析师预测2024年的营业收入为90.8亿元人民币,每股收益为0.80元人民币。综合分析师的看法,他们似乎并没有因这些财报结果而改变对该公司的看法,因为他们的估计没有发生重大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥17.23. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Tasly Pharmaceutical Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥19.56 and the most bearish at CN¥15.30 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

因此,毫不意外地,我们得知共识价格目标基本上与之前相比没有太大变化,为17.23元人民币。共识价格目标仅为各个分析师目标的平均值,所以了解底层估计范围是很有用的。在天士力制药股份有限公司的估值中存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师将其估值定为19.56元人民币,最看淡的为15.30元人民币每股。尽管如此,根据估计值的相对紧密分布,看起来分析师在其估值上相当有信心,这表明天士力制药股份有限公司很容易预测,或者说分析师都使用类似的假设。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 11% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 21% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 12% per year. So it looks like Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

获取这些预测更详细的背景的一种方法是比较它们与过去的表现以及同行业其他公司的表现。有一件事从这些预测中显而易见,那就是天士力在未来的增长速度将快于过去,预计到2024年底,营业收入预计将以11%的年增长率增长。如果实现这一预测,这将比过去五年的21%的年均下降要好得多。而据我们的数据显示,同行业其他公司(有分析师报告的)预计营业收入将以每年12%的速度增长。因此,天士力预计将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明显的结论是,最近没有发生业务前景的重大变化,分析师维持他们的盈利预测不变,符合之前的估计。他们还重申了营收预测,预计该公司的增长速度将与更广泛的行业相同。共识价格目标没有真正变化,这表明业务的内在价值在最新的估计中没有经历任何重大变化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Tasly Pharmaceutical Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

延续这种思路,我们认为业务的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对天士力药业集团的分析师预测有一个完整的范围,延伸至2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些预测。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tasly Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.

不要忘记还可能存在风险。例如,我们已经发现了天士力药业集团的2个警示信号,您应该注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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