share_log

We Think Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's (SZSE:002811) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

We Think Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's (SZSE:002811) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

我们认为深圳郑中设计(SZSE:002811)的利润只是他们可以实现的基准
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 18:57

Last week's profit announcement from Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.

深圳市郑中设计股份有限公司(SZSE:002811)上周的利润公告对投资者来说令人失望,尽管头条数字坚挺。我们进行了一些调查,发现了一些令人担忧的潜在问题。

1724799420032
SZSE:002811 Earnings and Revenue History August 27th 2024
SZSE:002811收益和营业历史记录2024年8月27日

A Closer Look At Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Earnings

深圳市郑中设计收益的更详细观察

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如财务专业人士所知,从现金流量计算出的应计比率是评估一家公司自由现金流(FCF)是否与其利润相匹配的关键指标。换句话说,该比率将自由现金流从净利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司的多少利润不是由F C F支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负的计提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的计提比率毫无问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高的计提比率则是一个坏信号,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高的计提比率对近期利润总体上是一个坏兆头。

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design has an accrual ratio of -0.40 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥327m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥7.57m. Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

深圳市郑中设计2024年6月期的准备金比率为-0.40。因此,其法定盈利远远低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的一年中,其自由现金流为32700万元人民币,远高于其757万元人民币的法定利润。深圳市郑中设计的股东无疑会高兴自由现金流在过去十二个月内有所改善。话虽如此,事情还有待深究。我们可以看到,飞凡项目对其法定利润和准备金比率产生了影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design.

注:我们始终建议投资者查看资产负债表强度。点击这里查看我们对深圳市郑中设计资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥55m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

虽然权责发生率可能预示着良好的业务,但我们也注意到,郑中设计的利润在过去十二个月中因价值5500万人民币的飞凡项目而得到了提振。尽管利润增加总是件好事,但飞凡项目的大幅贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。当我们对数千家上市公司进行数据分析时,发现某年度的飞凡项目增加往往在下一年不会重复。考虑到名称,这并不奇怪。相对于其2024年6月的利润,郑中设计的飞凡项目贡献相当显著。因此,我们可以推断出,飞凡项目使其法定利润明显强于原本的状态。

Our Take On Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Profit Performance

我们对郑中设计的利润业绩的看法

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

郑中设计的利润得到了飞凡项目的提振,这表明这些利润可能不可持续,然而其权责发生率仍显示出良好的现金转化,这是令人振奋的。考虑到对比的因素,我们对于郑中设计的利润是否恰当地反映了其潜在盈利能力并没有明确的看法。因此,如果你愿意深入研究这支股票,重要的是要考虑它所面临的任何风险。例如,郑中设计有4个警示信号(其中1个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该了解。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我们已经研究了许多因素,这些因素可能会损害利润数字作为业务指南的实用性。但是如果您能够专注于细节,总会有更多的发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟踪资金”,寻找内部人员购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看此高股本回报率的免费收藏公司或此具有高内部所有权的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发