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Manufacturing Growth Expected to Pick up in Q4 2024, Led by Electronics

Manufacturing Growth Expected to Pick up in Q4 2024, Led by Electronics

预计2024年第四季度制造业增长将会加速,以电子产品为主导
Singapore Business Review ·  08/27 23:32

In July, output grew by 1.8% YoY.

7月份,产出同比增长1.8%。

Experts foresee more substantial sequential growth in the manufacturing sector, particularly in electronics, from Q4 2024 to 2025, after July's robust industrial production figures.

专家预测,从2024年第四季度到2025年,尤其是在电子领域,制造业将出现更大幅度的季度增长,这是继7月份强劲的工业生产数据之后的趋势。

UOB suggests this growth is likely if major central banks in advanced economies lower policy rates, spurring investment and consumption.

大华银行建议,如果先进经济体的主要中央银行降低政策利率,刺激投资和消费,这种增长可能会出现。

"Furthermore, the eventual replenishment of inventory and the ongoing replacement of worn-out or outdated consumer electronics acquired during the pandemic are positive tailwinds for the electronics segment," UOB said.

“此外,库存补充和在疫情期间获得的耗损或过时消费电子产品的持续更换,对电子产品板块是利好因素,”大华银行表示。

The electronics segment output rose 2.8% YoY in July.

7月份,电子产品板块产出同比增长2.8%。

The positive outlook on the electronics sector, alongside, bright spots in specific industries, and the the stronger-than-expected July IP performance are among the reasons why RHB anticipate Singapore's manufacturing and trade-related sectors will contribute to overall growth in 2H24.

电子产品板块的积极前景,以及特定行业的亮点以及7月份强劲的工业生产表现是为什么大华银行预计新加坡的制造业和与贸易相关的部门将对2H24的整体增长做出贡献的原因之一。

"We observe bright spots in specific industries: electronics, precision engineering, and transport engineering in for the remainder of the year. Empirically, these industries are plugged into the global trade landscape and will continue to benefit from the uptick in global E&E demand and trade activities." RHB said.

“我们在特定行业观察到亮点:电子产品、精密工程和交通工程。从实证角度来看,这些行业与全球贸易格局相连接,将继续从全球电子电器需求和贸易活动的回暖中受益。大华银行表示。

"It is important to note these sectors such as transport engineering—particularly marine and offshore engineering—general manufacturing, and electronics segments including computer peripherals, info-comms, and other electronic modules continued to show annual growth. This expansion reflects ongoing recovery in major economies like the US and China. As such, we look for Singapore's industrial production growth momentum to recover into 2H24 on the back of an improved global backdrop," RHB added.

“重要的是要注意到,像交通工程(特别是海洋和海上工程)、通用制造业和计算机外部设备、信息通信和其他电子模块等电子产品板块仍在继续显示年度增长。这种扩张反映出美国和中国等主要经济体的持续复苏。因此,我们预计新加坡的工业生产增长势头将在全球形势好转的背景下在2H24复苏。”大华银行补充道。

For the full year, RHB and UOB experts predict IP print to grow by 1.0%

根据大华银行和大华银行专家的预测,全年的IP打印预计将增长1.0%

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