Market Eyes $305B Shift In Nvidia's Market Cap As Options Pricing Forecasts 9.8% Post-Earnings Move: 'A Lot Of That Insurance Is FOMO'
Market Eyes $305B Shift In Nvidia's Market Cap As Options Pricing Forecasts 9.8% Post-Earnings Move: 'A Lot Of That Insurance Is FOMO'
Options pricing indicates that traders are more concerned about missing a significant upside move from Nvidia than experiencing a substantial drop. Traders assign a 7% chance the stock will rise more than 20% by Friday, while only a 4% probability to a more than 20% sell-off, according to a Susquehanna Financial analysis of options data.Market analysis predicts a record-breaking $300 billion swing in shares of Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) following its forthcoming earnings report, making it the most significant anticipated earnings move in history.
市场分析预测，英伟达股份有限公司（纳斯达克: NVDA）即将发布季度财报后，股价将出现创纪录的3000亿美元波动，这将成为历史上最重大的预期收益波动。
What Happened: Options pricing suggests traders are expecting a 9.8% move in Nvidia's shares on Thursday, the day after the earnings report. This prediction, derived from ORATS data, exceeds any anticipated move before any Nvidia report over the past three years and surpasses the stock's average post-earnings move of 8.1% during the same period, Reuters reported on Wednesday.
事件经过：期权定价表明，交易员预计英伟达股票在季度财报后的周四将出现9.8%的波动。据路透社周三报道，这一预测来自ORATS数据，超过了过去三年内任何英伟达公司财报前的预期波动，并超过了同期股票的平均发帖波动率8.1%。
Considering Nvidia's market capitalization of roughly $3.11 trillion, a 9.8% swing would amount to nearly $305 billion. This move would outshine the market capitalization of 95% of S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Merck, according to LSEG data.
鉴于英伟达约3.11万亿美元的市值，9.8%的波动将达到近3050亿美元。这一波动将超过标普500指数中95%的公司的市值，包括奈飞和默沙东，据伦交所集团数据。
Options pricing indicates that traders are more concerned about missing a significant upside move from Nvidia than experiencing a substantial drop. Traders assign a 7% chance the stock will rise more than 20% by Friday, while only a 4% probability to a more than 20% sell-off, according to a Susquehanna Financial analysis of options data.
期权定价表明，交易员对于错过英伟达的重大上涨更为担忧。根据Susquehanna Financial对期权数据的分析，交易员给股票上涨20%以上的概率为7%，而对于20%以上的抛售，只有4%的概率。
Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, stated, "Ahead of earnings, people typically want to buy hedges, they want to buy insurance, but in Nvidia's case, a lot of that insurance is FOMO insurance. They don't want to miss a rally."
Interactive Brokers首席策略师Steve Sosnick表示：“在发布财报前，人们通常希望买入对冲，他们希望购买保险，但在英伟达的情况下，很多保险都是FOMO保险。他们不想错过涨势。”
Why It Matters: Nvidia, one of the world's most valuable companies, could serve as a leading market indicator for the technology and semiconductor sectors when it reports its second-quarter financial results. Analysts expect Nvidia to report second-quarter revenue of $28.68 billion, a significant increase from last year's second-quarter revenue of $13.5 billion.
重要性：作为世界上最有价值的公司之一，英伟达在发布其第二季度财报时，可能成为技术和半导体行业的主要市场指标。分析师预计，英伟达将报告第二季度营业收入286.8亿美元，较去年同期的135亿美元显著增加。
Furthermore, a Goldman Sachs note suggested that Nvidia's stock might experience a $298 billion market value fluctuation following its second-quarter earnings report. This potential swing is based on the company's $3.17 trillion market capitalization.
此外，高盛的一份报告指出，在英伟达第二季度发布财报后，该公司的股价可能会出现2980亿美元的市值波动。这一潜在波动基于该公司3.17万亿美元的市值。
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Photo via Wikimedia Commons
照片通过Wikimedia Commons
This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari
本报道使用Benzinga Neuro生成，并由Pooja Rajkumari编辑