Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE:KMB) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
一些人认为,作为投资者,与其将风险与债务联系在一起,不如将风险与波动性联系在一起,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远远不是同义词。”所以看起来明智的人知道,债务通常涉及破产,是评估一家公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。和许多其他公司一样,金佰利(Kimberly-Clark Corporation)(纽交所:KMB)也在使用债务。但是股东们应该担心它使用债务的情况吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
当公司无法用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本,偿还债务变得困难时,债务和其他负债对业务构成风险。 最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一文不值。 然而,更普遍(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司以低价筹集新的股本资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。 尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司合理处理债务并从中受益。 当我们考虑债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平,二者加起来。
What Is Kimberly-Clark's Net Debt?
金佰利的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kimberly-Clark had debt of US$7.99b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$8.35b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.16b, its net debt is less, at about US$6.83b.
下面这张图片可以点击看到更详细的信息,显示在2024年6月底,金佰利的债务为79.9亿美元,较去年的83.5亿美元有所减少。然而,由于它有11.6亿美元的现金储备,因此其净债务为约68.3亿美元。
How Strong Is Kimberly-Clark's Balance Sheet?
金佰利的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kimberly-Clark had liabilities of US$7.01b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$8.99b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.16b in cash and US$2.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$12.5b.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到金佰利在12个月内有701亿美元的负债,超过了预期的89.9亿美元。与此相抵,它有116亿美元的现金和231亿美元的应收账款,在12个月内到期。所以它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款总和125亿美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Kimberly-Clark is worth a massive US$48.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
这个赤字并不严重,因为金佰利市值高达485亿美元,因此如果需要的话,可能可以筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。然而,仔细查看其偿还债务的能力仍然是值得的。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
We'd say that Kimberly-Clark's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.7), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.9 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. One way Kimberly-Clark could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 13%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kimberly-Clark can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
我们认为,金佰利适中的净债务对EBITDA比率(为1.7),表明其在债务方面是谨慎的。而其强劲的EBIT高达14.9倍利息费用,意味着债务负担轻得像孔雀羽毛一样。金佰利消除债务的一种途径是停止借债,但继续以大约13%的速度增长EBIT,就像去年一样。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定金佰利能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测方面的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Kimberly-Clark generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润不能满足需求。所以值得检查多少EBIT由自由现金流支持。在过去的三年中,金佰利产生的自由现金流占到其EBIT的82%,超过了我们的预期。如果有需要,这将使其有能力偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Kimberly-Clark's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Kimberly-Clark seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kimberly-Clark you should know about.
金佰利的利息覆盖指标表明它可以像C罗对14岁以下门将进球一样轻松处理债务。这只是好消息的开始,因为它的EBIT转为自由现金流也非常令人欣慰。放大看,金佰利似乎相当合理地使用债务,这也得到了我们的认可。虽然债务带来风险,但合理使用债务也可以带来更高的股权回报率。资产负债表显然是分析债务时的重点。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 – 远远不是这样。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了金佰利的1个警示迹象,你应该了解一下。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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