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Why Is Bitcoin Underperforming Against Gold? Because They're 'Not Meaningfully Correlated,' Analyst Points Out

Why Is Bitcoin Underperforming Against Gold? Because They're 'Not Meaningfully Correlated,' Analyst Points Out

为什么比特币对黄金表现不佳?因为它们“没有实质相关性”,分析师指出
Benzinga ·  08/28 14:07

The recent underperformance of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) against gold prompted debate on social media, with some challenging the notion that Bitcoin simply "follows" gold's price movements.

比特币(加密货币: BTC)近期相对黄金的表现不佳,在社交媒体上引发了争议,一些人质疑比特币仅仅是在跟随黄金的价格走势。

What Happened: Pseudonymous technical analyst TXMCtrades addressed the misconception, stating, that Bitcoin shares some properties with gold, such as being an "outside asset with no counterparty."

发生了什么:化名技术分析师TXMCtrades解释了这个误解,称比特币与黄金有些共性,例如都是“没有交易对手方的外部资产。”

Still, these similarities don't translate to identical market behavior, the analyst argued, as the key difference lies in the level of understanding and acceptance among investors.

然而,这些相似之处并不能转化为相同的市场行为,分析师认为,关键差异在于投资者对其的了解和接受程度。

Bitcoin and gold are "not meaningfully correlated," according to TXMCtrades.

根据TXMCtrades的观点,比特币和黄金“没有实质相关性。”

"Bitcoin is more like a lost tech stock living in the crevice between passive cap-weighted flows into megacap equities and whatever crypto represents," they further outlined. This unique positioning reflects Bitcoin's hybrid nature as both a technological innovation and a potential store of value.

他们进一步指出:“比特币更像是一只失落的科技股,生活在被动资金流入巨型股票和加密货币之间的豁口里。” 这种独特的定位反映了比特币作为技术创新和潜在价值储存的混合本质。

The analyst also pointed out that while Bitcoin maximalists may treat the cryptocurrency as "new gold," the majority of investors have yet to adopt this perspective. "No one can force them to," suggesting that widespread acceptance of Bitcoin as a gold-like asset may take time and significant market events.

分析师还指出,虽然比特币极端主义者可能将加密货币视为“新黄金”,但大多数投资者尚未采纳这种观点。 “没有人能强迫他们这样做”,这意味着比特币作为类似于黄金的资产的广泛接受可能需要时间和重大市场事件。

Looking ahead, future financial crises could shift investor perceptions of Bitcoin and "we haven't experienced one big enough yet" to trigger such a fundamental change in how the broader market views cryptocurrency.

展望未来,未来的金融危机可能会改变投资者对比特币的看法,我们还没有经历过足够大的危机来触发这种对于整个市场对数字货币看法的根本性变化。

While Bitcoin may eventually carve out a similar role to gold in investors' portfolios, its current market behavior suggests it's still on a unique trajectory.

尽管比特币最终可能在投资者的投资组合中扮演类似黄金的角色,但其当前的市场行为表明它仍处于独特的轨迹上。

This is further evidenced by the fact that Bitcoin is yet to reach a new all-time when measured against gold.

这进一步证明了事实,即比特币在与黄金相比的时候尚未达到新的历史最高水平。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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