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Is Novoray (SHSE:688300) A Risky Investment?

Is Novoray (SHSE:688300) A Risky Investment?

Novoray (SHSE:688300)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 18:27

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Novoray Corporation (SHSE:688300) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

戴维·伊本曾经很好地说过:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。”所以看起来聪明的投资者知道,债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。值得注意的是,联瑞新材(SHSE:688300)确实持有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自己的现金流。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。然而,一种更常见的(但仍然昂贵的)情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东权益,以控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑一家公司的债务水平时,首先要考虑其现金和债务的总体情况。

How Much Debt Does Novoray Carry?

联瑞新材持有多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Novoray had debt of CN¥120.5m, up from CN¥4.67m in one year. But it also has CN¥454.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥333.7m net cash.

下面的图片显示了2024年6月联瑞新材负债12050万人民币,比一年前的467万人民币增加了很多。但它还持有45420万人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,也就是净现金33370万人民币。

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SHSE:688300 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024
SHSE:688300的资产负债历史记录(2024年8月28日)

How Strong Is Novoray's Balance Sheet?

诺瑞公司的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Novoray had liabilities of CN¥301.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥151.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥454.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥330.3m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥331.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近公布的资产负债表显示,诺瑞公司的短期负债为30180万人民币,长期负债为15180万人民币。抵消这些负债的是,其持有45420万人民币的现金和33030万人民币的应收款项,其中短期应收款项为33030万人民币。因此,它实际上比总负债多了33100万人民币的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Novoray has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Novoray boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这个盈余表明诺瑞公司的资产负债表保守,很可能毫不费力地清偿债务。简单来说,诺瑞公司拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Novoray has boosted its EBIT by 65%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Novoray can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我们很高兴地报告说诺瑞公司的税前利润增长了65%,从而减少了未来偿债的风险。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是自然的起点。但是最终,企业的未来盈利能力将决定诺瑞公司是否能够逐步加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,了解分析师的利润预测。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Novoray has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Novoray recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但是,我们最后要考虑的也很重要,因为一家公司不能用虚拟的利润来偿还债务,它需要现金。虽然诺瑞公司在其资产负债表上有净现金,但我们仍然需要查看其将利润(税前利润和利息)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或消耗)现金余额的速度。从最近三年的数据来看,诺瑞公司的自由现金流为税前利润的50%,这比我们预期的要弱。就偿还债务而言,这并不理想。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Novoray has CN¥333.7m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 65% over the last year. So is Novoray's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Novoray that you should be aware of.

虽然调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,联瑞新材的净现金为33370万人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。并且去年EBIT增长了65%,这给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么,联瑞新材的债务是否存在风险?在我们看来似乎并不是。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 甚至远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了一条针对联瑞新材的警告信号,您应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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