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Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

深圳梅森科技有限公司(SZSE:002654)在债务使用上存在着一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 18:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shenzhen Mason Technologies Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002654) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

巴菲特的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司支持的外部基金经理李录在谈到投资风险时毫不掩饰地说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受到永久性资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的负债使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。作为许多其他公司一样,深圳市万润科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002654)也在使用债务。但股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当一家企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力价格融资的方式轻松履行债务时,债务和其他负债就变得冒风险了。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所有。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是公司不得不以低价发行新股权,从而永久性稀释股东的权益。当然,有很多公司利用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先看现金和债务的总体情况。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd Carry?

深圳市万润科技股份有限公司承载了多少债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had CN¥702.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥332.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥369.7m.

下面的图表(点击可放大查看详细信息)显示,深圳市万润科技股份有限公司在2024年3月有7,0200万元的债务,与前一年大致相同。然而,它还有3,3230万元的现金,因此其净债务为3,6970万元。

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SZSE:002654 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024
SZSE:002654债务与净资产比历史数据2024年8月28日

A Look At Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's Liabilities

深圳市万润科技股份有限公司的负债情况。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥587.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥332.3m in cash and CN¥1.69b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥622.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,深圳市万润科技股份有限公司的负债中,有20.6亿元人民币的到期期限在一年内,而超过一年的负债为58770万人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有33230万人民币的现金和16.9亿元的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总计比其现金和短期应收帐款多62260万人民币。

Given Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.05b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鉴于深圳万润科技有限公司的市值为80.5亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。话虽如此,我们当然要继续监控它的资产负债表,以防情况恶化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批发俱乐部控股公司的净债务只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT轻松覆盖其利息费用,比例为12.6倍。因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到相当放心。虽然BJ批发俱乐部控股公司在EBIT方面没有取得太多进展,但至少其盈利保持稳定。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的切入点。但归根结底,企业未来的盈利能力将决定BJ批发俱乐部控股公司能否随着时间的推移加强资产负债表。因此,如果你要关注未来,可以查看一下这份免费的分析报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。

Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, the silver lining was that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥8.2m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

深圳万润科技有限公司的债务与息税前利润倍数为4.2倍,息税前利润足以偿付利息2.5倍。这表明虽然债务水平相当高,但我们不会将其称为问题。然而,好消息是深圳万润科技有限公司在过去十二个月内实现了820万人民币的息税前纯利润,较去年的亏损有所改善。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解债务最多。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为深圳万润科技有限公司需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,确实值得观察盈利趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,一个公司只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。因此,检查收益税前利润和税前利润之间的自由现金流量有多少是靠有余现金支持是值得的。过去一年,深圳万润科技有限公司的自由现金流量总体上呈负增长。尽管投资者无疑希望在适当的时候情况会逆转,但这显然意味着其利用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

We'd go so far as to say Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at staying on top of its total liabilities; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

我们甚至可以说,万润科技有限公司将EBIt转换为自由现金流的能力令人失望。但至少在应对其总负债方面表现还不错,这是令人鼓舞的。综上考虑,我们认为万润科技有限公司的债务使其存在一定风险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们对潜在的风险问题保持警惕,所以我们可能更希望它负债更少。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如-万润科技有限公司存在2个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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