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Earnings Update: Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) Just Reported Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Earnings Update: Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) Just Reported Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

盈利更新:海天国际控股有限公司(HKG:1882)刚刚公布了上半年业绩,分析师们正在更新他们的预测。
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 19:28

Shareholders might have noticed that Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) filed its half-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.8% to HK$21.25 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of CN¥8.0b coming in 2.1% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.95, in line with analyst appraisals. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Haitian International Holdings after the latest results.

股东们可能已经注意到,海天国际控股有限公司(HKG:1882)上周发布了上半年业绩报告。早期反应并不乐观,股价在过去一周下跌了3.8%,至21.25港元。这是一个勤奋的结果,营业收入达到了80亿人民币,比预期高出2.1%,每股利润为0.95人民币,与分析师的评估一致。盈利是投资者重要的时刻,他们可以追踪一家公司的业绩,看看分析师对明年的预测,并查看对该公司的情绪是否发生了变化。请读者放心,我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以查看在最新业绩公布后,分析师是否改变了对海天国际控股的看法。

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SEHK:1882 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 28th 2024
2024年8月28日,SEHK:1882的盈利和营业收入增长

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Haitian International Holdings are now predicting revenues of CN¥15.8b in 2024. If met, this would reflect an okay 7.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 7.6% to CN¥1.88. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥15.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.83 in 2024. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

根据最新业绩,对海天国际控股有11位分析师进行了覆盖,他们预测2024年的营业收入将达到158亿元。如果达到这一水平,与过去12个月相比,营收将有7.3%的增长。每股收益预计将增长7.6%,达到1.88元。然而,在最新业绩公布之前,分析师预计2024年的营业收入将为152亿元,每股收益为1.83元。因此,似乎在最新业绩公布后,情绪有所提升,因为明年的营收和每股盈利预测均有所上调。

Despite these upgrades,the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of HK$28.33, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Haitian International Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$32.87 and the most bearish at HK$23.98 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Haitian International Holdings shareholders.

尽管有这些上调,但分析师们对海天国际控股的目标股价并没有作出重大调整,预计为28.33港元,这表明较高的估值不太可能对股票价值产生长期影响。然而,从这些数据中我们也可以得出其他结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的目标股价时也喜欢考虑估值范围的差异。对于海天国际控股存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析师将其估值为32.87港元,最看淡的为23.98港元。分析师对该企业的观点肯定存在差异,但在我们看来,估值范围不足以表明海天国际控股股东可能面临极端结果。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Haitian International Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 15% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 11% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Haitian International Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

获得有关这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是将其与过去的业绩以及同行业的其他公司的表现进行比较。从最新的估计数据可以明显看出,到2024年底,海天国际控股的增长速度预计将显著加快,预计年化营业收入增长率为15%,明显快于其过去五年平均增长率为6.2%。将此与同行业的其他公司相比较,其预计年均增长率为11%。考虑到预计的营业收入加速增长,很明显,海天国际控股的增长速度预计将远远超过行业水平。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Haitian International Holdings' earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$28.33, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

对我们来说,最重要的是共识每股收益上调,这表明市场对海天国际控股明年的盈利潜力有明显改善的看法。令人欣慰的是,他们还上调了其营业收入的预期,并预测其增长速度将超过整个行业。共识价格预期稳定在28.33港元,最新的估计数据对价格目标没有产生影响。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Haitian International Holdings analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

然而,公司长期盈利的趋势比明年更重要。我们有多位海天国际控股分析师对2026年的估计数据,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

You can also see our analysis of Haitian International Holdings' Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您还可以查看我们对海天国际控股董事会和首席执行官薪酬和经验的分析,以及公司内部人员是否一直在购买公司股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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