We Think ZJLD Group (HKG:6979) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think ZJLD Group (HKG:6979) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies ZJLD Group Inc (HKG:6979) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理陆奇(得到查理·芒格支持)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它使用债务的情况,因为债务过重可能会导致灭亡。就像许多其他公司一样,ZJLD集团有限公司(HKG:6979)也在使用债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,企业只有在无法轻松偿还债务时,无论是通过筹集资金还是通过自身的现金流,债务才会成为真正的问题。 在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿付债权人,则可能破产。 尽管这不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为放贷人强迫其以低价筹集资金而永久稀释股东。 当然,有很多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。 考虑一家公司的负债水平的第一步是将其现金和债务合并考虑。
What Is ZJLD Group's Net Debt?
ZJLD集团的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, ZJLD Group had CN¥285.1m of debt, up from CN¥36.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥6.11b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.83b.
正如您可以在下面看到的,截至2024年6月底,ZJLD集团的债务金额为2.851亿元人民币,高于一年前的3660万元人民币。点击图片以了解更多详情。然而,它也拥有61.1亿元人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,从而形成净现金达到了58.3亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is ZJLD Group's Balance Sheet?
ZJLD集团的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, ZJLD Group had liabilities of CN¥4.82b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥42.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.11b and CN¥331.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.58b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近披露的资产负债表显示,ZJLD集团有超过121.9亿人民币的短期债务,在12个月内到期,超过2480万人民币的长期债务。另一方面,ZJLD集团有现金资金约61.1亿人民币,应收账款约33160万人民币,在一年内到期。所以,其流动资产比总负债多约15.8亿人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that ZJLD Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that ZJLD Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种短期流动性表明,ZJLD集团可能能够轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表还远未达到极限。简而言之,事实上,ZJLD集团的现金资金多于债务,可以说是一个很好的指示,它能够安全地管理其债务。
And we also note warmly that ZJLD Group grew its EBIT by 18% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ZJLD Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
我们还要热情地提醒您,ZJLD集团去年其EBIT增长了18%,使其更容易应对债务负担。显然,资产负债表是您进行债务分析时需要关注的领域。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定ZJLD集团是否能够逐渐加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解更多专业人士的看法,您可能会对分析师利润预测的免费报告感兴趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While ZJLD Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, ZJLD Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润不能解决问题。虽然ZJLD集团在其资产负债表上有净现金,但我们仍然应该看一下其将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它的现金余额增加(或减少)的速度。在过去的三年中,ZJLD集团的负自由现金流总额相当大。虽然这可能是由于扩张支出导致的,但它使得债务更加风险。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that ZJLD Group has net cash of CN¥5.83b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 18% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with ZJLD Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ZJLD Group you should be aware of.
虽然我们对于投资者担心债务问题有同感,但您应该记住,ZJLD Group拥有58.3亿人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。而且我们喜欢去年18%的利润增长率。所以我们对ZJLD Group的债务使用没有任何问题。毋庸置疑,我们从资产负债表上可以看到大部分与债务有关的信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都体现在资产负债表上,远非如此。典型案例:我们发现了ZJLD Group的两个警示信号,您应该知道这一点。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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