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Is Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Using Too Much Debt?

甲骨文(纽交所:ORCL)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  08/29 09:17

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

当大卫·伊本(David Iben)说'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。'时,他表达得很好。当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看一下它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致灾难。与许多其他公司一样,甲骨文公司(NYSE:ORCL)也使用了债务。但股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

对于一家企业而言,当无法轻松实现这些义务时,债务和其他负债会变得风险重重,无论是通过自由现金流还是按照有吸引力的价格筹集资金。 最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。 当然,许多公司利用债务来支持增长,没有任何负面后果。 要考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,首先要看其现金和债务总额。

What Is Oracle's Debt?

什么是甲骨文的债务?

As you can see below, Oracle had US$86.9b of debt, at May 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$10.7b, its net debt is less, at about US$76.2b.

正如您在下面所见,截至2024年5月,甲骨文的债务为869亿美元,与去年大致相同。您可以点击图表查看更详细的信息。然而,由于它有107亿美元的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为762亿美元。

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NYSE:ORCL Debt to Equity History August 29th 2024
NYSE:ORCL债权净资产历史记录(2024年8月29日)

How Strong Is Oracle's Balance Sheet?

Oracle的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Oracle had liabilities of US$31.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$100.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$10.7b in cash and US$8.70b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$112.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入研究最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Oracle在12个月内有315亿美元的到期负债,超过12个月有1002亿美元的到期负债。相比之下,它在12个月内有107亿美元的现金和87亿美元的应收账款。所以它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款多1124亿美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Oracle is worth a massive US$381.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这个赤字并不是很严重,因为Oracle的价值达到了3816亿美元,因此如果需要,它可能能够筹集到足够的资本来稳固其资产负债表。但是很明显,我们应该仔细考虑它是否可以在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Oracle has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Oracle could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 15%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Oracle's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Oracle的债务与EBITDA比率为3.6,而EBIT覆盖了其利息支出的5.1倍。这表明尽管债务水平相当高,但我们不会将其称为问题所在。Oracle消除债务的一种方式是停止借债,但继续以约15%的增长率增加EBIT,就像过去一年所做的那样。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要关注的领域。但与任何其他因素相比,未来收益将决定Oracle未来能否维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份免费的分析师利润预测报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Oracle recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,一家企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润是不够的。因此,我们始终要检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在最近的三年中,Oracle的自由现金流相当于其EBIT的56%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。这个自由现金流使得该公司在适当时期偿还债务时处于良好的位置。

Our View

我们的观点

Oracle's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. On the other hand, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Oracle is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Oracle you should be aware of.

这个分析中,Oracle的EBIT增长率是一个真正的积极因素,同样其EBIT转换为自由现金流也是如此。 另一方面,其净债务与EBITDA比率使我们对其债务感到有些不舒服。 当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,我们认为Oracle在管理债务方面做得相当好。 话虽如此,负担有些沉重,因此我们建议股东密切关注。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在不在资产负债表之外的风险。 一个例子是: 我们发现了Oracle的1个警示标志,您应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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