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Five Below Faces Mixed Analyst Reviews: Strategy Shift And Lower Growth Projections Pressure Stock

Five Below Faces Mixed Analyst Reviews: Strategy Shift And Lower Growth Projections Pressure Stock

five below面临分歧的分析师评论:策略转变和下调增长预期给股票带来压力
Benzinga ·  08/29 14:26

Five Below, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVE) released its second-quarter results yesterday.

五下公司(NASDAQ:FIVE)昨天发布了其第二季度业绩。

Analysts covering the company provided their takes:

分析师们对该公司的看法如下:

  • Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane maintains a Buy rating on the stock, lowering the price target from $124 to $106.
  • Truist Securities analyst Scot Ciccarelli reiterated the Hold rating, lowering the price forecast to $87 from $89.
  • JP Morgan analyst Matthew Boss maintained the Neutral rating, raising the price forecast to $89 from $86.
  • 高盛分析师凯特·麦肖恩(Kate McShane)维持对该股票的买入评级,将目标价从124美元降至106美元。
  • Truist Securities分析师斯科特·西卡雷利(Scot Ciccarelli)重申持有评级,将价格预测从89美元降至87美元。
  • JP摩根分析师马修·博斯(Matthew Boss)维持中立评级,将价格预测从86美元上调至89美元。

Goldman Sachs: The analyst writes that the company's strategy to enhance value through a more targeted merchandising approach is promising, though it will require time to produce noticeable outcomes. McShane notes that while traffic remains positive, conversion rates are under pressure, with guidance suggesting that the comparable store sales trends for the second half of the year will be similar to the -5.7% observed in the second quarter.

高盛:分析师表示,该公司通过更有针对性的商品化战略来增加价值的策略很有潜力,但需要时间才能产生明显的效果。麦肖恩指出,尽管流量保持积极,但转化率受到压力,指导意见表明下半年的可比店铺销售趋势将与第二季度的-5.7%相似。

The company intends to invest in labor and pricing, but these costs are anticipated to be balanced by savings elsewhere.

该公司打算在劳动力和定价方面进行投资,但这些成本预计会通过其他地方的节约来平衡。

The analyst has revised the store growth forecasts for FY25 and FY26, with the new projections set at 9.3% and 9.5% respectively, down from the previous estimates of 12.4% and 13.5%.

该分析师已调整了FY25和FY26的店铺增长预测,新的预测分别设定为9.3%和9.5%,低于之前的估计值12.4%和13.5%。

Also Read: Dollar General Q2 Earnings: Earnings Miss, Slashed Outlook And Shrinking Margins

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Truist Securities: According to the analyst, although sales were slightly better than anticipated (comparable store sales fell 5.7% compared to the expected 6.5% decline), the company continues to experience a mid-single-digit decline and expects this trend to continue into the second half of the year.

根据分析师的论述,尽管销售额略好于预期(同店销售额下降了5.7%,而预期下降6.5%),但该公司的销售额持续出现了一个中个位数的下降趋势,并预计这种趋势将延续到今年下半年。

The company also intends to cut their SKU count by up to 20% and refocus on $1, $3, and $5 price points, marking a partial shift away from their 5 Beyond strategy.

该公司还打算减少其SKU数量高达20%,并重新聚焦于1美元、3美元和5美元的价格点,部分转移其5 Beyond的策略。

Due to the lead times associated with this business, the analyst does not anticipate any significant changes in merchandising until around the second quarter of 2025.

由于与该业务相关的交货周期,分析师预计到2025年第二季度左右,商品销售策略不会有任何重大变化。

JP Morgan: Five Below aims for mid-teens unit growth and low-single-digit comparable store sales increases (around +2-4%), with margins expected to remain roughly flat, the analyst writes.

JP Morgan: Five Below的目标是实现中个位数的单位增长和低个位数的可比店面销售增长(约+2-4%),分析师写道。盈利率预计将保持大致不变。

The company faces a 3% fixed-cost hurdle, which should result in low-to-mid-teens EPS growth over the next several years, following a ~100 basis points improvement in operating margin through FY26 (compared to a pre-2019 bottom-line profile of over 20%).

该公司面临着3%的固定成本障碍,在接下来的几年中,预计每股收益将实现低到中个位数的增长,并且在2026财年之前,预计运营利润率将提高约100个基点(相比2019年之前的净利率水平超过20%)。

Over the last eight quarters (2022 and 2023), the firm's total basket has decreased year-over-year as consumers stick to tighter budgets.

在过去的八个季度(2022年和2023年),随着消费者开始更加严格地控制预算,该公司的整体销售额较上年同期有所下降。

Additionally, the analyst suggests that the contribution from the Five Beyond initiative will diminish in FY25 and further in FY26 as the overall comparable base grows each year.

此外,分析师指出,随着总体可比基数每年都在增加,Five Beyond计划的贡献将会在2025财年减弱,并在2026财年进一步减弱。

Price Action: FIVE shares are trading higher by 0.18% to $79.08 at last check Thursday.

价格走势:五低股票以0.18%的涨幅交易,报79.08美元,在上周四最后一次检查时。

Photo by Mike Mozart from Wikimedia Commons

作者:迈克·莫扎特(Mike Mozart),出处:维基共享资源(Wikimedia Commons)

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