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Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 39% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 39% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

收益不佳:上海百赛电子科技有限公司的每股收益低于预期39%,分析师正在调整他们的预测
Simply Wall St ·  08/29 18:08

Shareholders might have noticed that Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688608) filed its first-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.9% to CN¥145 in the past week. Statutory earnings per share disappointed, coming in -39% short of expectations, at CN¥0.23. Fortunately revenue performance was a lot stronger at CN¥653m arriving 17% ahead of predictions. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Bestechnic (Shanghai) after the latest results.

股东们可能已经注意到上海百科(SHSE:688608)上周同期提交了其第一季度业绩。初期反应并不积极,股价在过去一周下跌了6.9%,跌至人民币145元。法定每股收益令人失望,较预期低39%,为人民币0.23。幸运的是,营业收入表现更为强劲,达到了人民币65300万,比预期高出17%。分析师们通常会在每份业绩报告后更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估算中判断他们对公司的看法是否改变,或者是否有任何新的问题需要关注。读者将会欣喜地得知,我们已汇总了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师在最新业绩出来后是否改变了对上海百科的看法。

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SHSE:688608 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 29th 2024
SHSE:688608 2024年8月29日营收和盈利增长

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s seven analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.14b in 2024. This reflects a decent 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 70% to CN¥3.16. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥3.00b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.78 in 2024. There's been a pretty noticeable increase in sentiment, with the analysts upgrading revenues and making a nice gain to earnings per share in particular.

考虑到最新的业绩,上海百科的七位分析师一致预测,2024年营业收入将达到人民币31.4亿。这表明与过去12个月相比,营业收入将有不错的12%增长。预测法定每股收益将跃升70%,达到人民币3.16。在此份报告之前,分析师们曾对2024年的营业收入进行了建模,结果显示人民币30亿,每股收益(EPS)为人民币2.78。情绪有相当明显的提升,分析师们提升了营业收入,并特别提升了每股收益。

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 6.8% to CN¥202per share. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Bestechnic (Shanghai) at CN¥226 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥180. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

考虑到这些预测的提升,我们不意外地看到分析师将其价格目标上调了6.8%,达到了人民币202元每股。查看分析师估值范围也许也值得指导,以评估离群意见与平均值之间的差异。目前,最看好的分析师认为上海百科的价值为人民币226元每股,而最看淡的则为人民币180。这些估值范围较窄,可能表明该企业的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有着坚定的看法。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Bestechnic (Shanghai)'shistorical trends, as the 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 17% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 22% per year. So it's pretty clear that Bestechnic (Shanghai) is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.

我们可以从更大的背景中观察这些估计值,比如与过去的业绩相比如何,以及相对于行业其他公司的预测是更看好还是更看淡。从最新的估计值可以推断出,预测认为贝斯特尼克(上海)的历史趋势将持续下去,因为到2024年底的年化营业收入增长率17%与过去三年的17%年增长率大致相当。相比之下,我们的数据显示,在类似行业中,其他(有分析师覆盖)公司的预测收入增长每年将会达到22%。因此,很明显,贝斯特尼克(上海)的增长速度预计比同行业的其他公司要慢。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Bestechnic (Shanghai) following these results. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for next year, even though it is expected to grow slower than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

这里最重要的是,分析师们提高了每股收益的预测,表明对贝斯特尼克(上海)的乐观情绪有明显增加。尽管预计增长速度较行业整体要慢,但他们还是提高了明年的营业收入预测。价格目标也有不错的增加,分析师们明显认为该公司的内在价值正在提高。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Bestechnic (Shanghai) going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

在这个前提下,我们仍然认为业务的长期发展趋势对于投资者来说更加重要。我们对贝斯特尼克(上海)的预测延伸到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

You can also see our analysis of Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您还可以看到我们对贝斯特尼克(上海)董事会和首席执行官薪酬和经验的分析,以及公司内部人员是否一直在购买股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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