South Manganese Investment Limited (HKG:1091) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 111% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think South Manganese Investment's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Metals and Mining industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does South Manganese Investment's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for South Manganese Investment, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on South Manganese Investment will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for South Manganese Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like South Manganese Investment's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.6%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 134% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 13% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that South Manganese Investment's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From South Manganese Investment's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now South Manganese Investment's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that South Manganese Investment currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for South Manganese Investment you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of South Manganese Investment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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