share_log

Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech (SZSE:002741) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech (SZSE:002741) A Risky Investment?

光华科技(SZSE:002741)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/29 21:27

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,与其担心股价波动,不如担心永久性损失的可能性...我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心这一点。当我们考虑一个公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过多可能导致灭顶之灾。我们可以看到光华科技(SZSE:002741)在业务中确实使用了债务。但这笔债务是否令股东担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务有助于企业,在企业通过新的资本或自由现金流偿还难以支付的债务之前。最终,如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,则股东可能会一无所有。尽管这并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为借贷人迫使他们以低估价的价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务对于资本密集型企业来说可能是一种重要的工具。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先关注现金和债务。

What Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's Debt?

光华科技的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech had CN¥885.1m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥933.4m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥237.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥647.3m.

正如您下面所看到的,光华科技于2024年6月的债务为88510万元人民币,较去年同期的93340万元人民币有所下降。然而,它确实有23780万元人民币的现金来抵销这笔债务,导致净债务约为64730万元人民币。

1724981247066
SZSE:002741 Debt to Equity History August 30th 2024
SZSE:002741 债务与股本历史 2024年8月30日

How Healthy Is Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's Balance Sheet?

广东光华科技的资产负债表状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.47b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥238.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥237.8m in cash and CN¥718.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥749.3m.

通过查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到广东光华科技在12个月内有1.47亿人民币的短期负债和2.38亿人民币的超过12个月到期的负债。与此相抵消的是,公司在12个月内有2.378亿人民币的现金和7.184亿人民币的应收账款。因此,公司的负债大于其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和,达到7.493亿人民币。

Of course, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech has a market capitalization of CN¥4.29b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

当然,广东光华科技的市值为4.29亿人民币,所以这些负债可能是可管理的。然而,我们认为值得关注的是其资产负债表的实力,因为随着时间的推移,情况可能会发生变化。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但是,未来的收入,而不仅仅是资产负债表,将决定广东光华科技维持健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果您想了解专业人士的观点,您可能会对这份关于分析预测的免费报告感兴趣。

In the last year Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 7.1%, to CN¥2.6b. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的一年里,广东光华科技在利息和税前亏损,并且其营业收入实际上减少了7.1%,至26亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Over the last twelve months Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥294m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥124m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

在过去的12个月中,广东光华科技的利息和税前亏损。具体来说,这种亏损达到了2.94亿人民币。当我们看到这一点并回顾其资产负债表上的负债,相对于现金来说,对于公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。所以我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,但并非不可修复。另一个令人警惕的原因是,在过去的12个月中,公司的自由现金流为负1240万元人民币。因此,我们认为这支股票存在风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表以外的风险。这些风险很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了广东光华科技的2个警示信号(其中1个是令人关注的!),您应该了解一下。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发