To the annoyance of some shareholders, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Advance Auto Parts' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Advance Auto Parts' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Advance Auto Parts has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Advance Auto Parts' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Advance Auto Parts' Revenue Growth Trending?
Advance Auto Parts' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.5% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 5.7% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Advance Auto Parts' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Advance Auto Parts' P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Advance Auto Parts looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Advance Auto Parts' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Advance Auto Parts (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Advance Auto Parts' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
造成一些股东的不满,Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (纽交所:AAP)股票在过去一个月中下跌了27%,这继续了该公司糟糕的表现。过去30天的下跌使股东度过了艰难的一年,股价在这段时间内下跌了33%。
即使股价大幅下跌,Advance Auto Parts的市销率(或"P/S")目前仍然可以说是相对"平庸",与美国专业零售行业相比,该行业的中位数市销率约为0.4x。然而,仅仅忽视市销率是不明智的,因为投资者可能会忽略一个明显的机会或一个代价高昂的错误。
Advance Auto Parts公司的市销率对股东意味着什么?
由于其营收增长低于近期大多数其他公司,Advance Auto Parts的增长相对缓慢。也许市场预期未来的营收表现会提升,这就保持了市销率的稳定。然而,如果情况并非如此,投资者可能会为该股票支付过高的价格。
想了解分析师如何评价Advance Auto Parts未来的发展前景?请参阅我们的免费报告。
Advance Auto Parts的营业收入增长趋势如何?
Advance Auto Parts的市销率对于一个预期只能实现适度增长、并且在行业中表现一致的公司来说是典型的。
回顾过去一年,Superior Group of Companies的营收总额与前一年几乎相同。这基本上是我们在过去三年里看到的趋势,因为其营收增长也几乎不存在。因此,股东可能对短期内缺乏增长感到不满意。
考虑到这一点,令人感到有趣的是Advance Auto Parts的市销率与其行业同行的市销率非常接近。大多数投资者似乎忽略了相当有限的增长预期,并愿意为接触该股票买单。维持这些价格将很难实现,因为这种营收增长水平最终可能会拖累股价。
从Advance Auto Parts的市销率我们能学到什么?
随着股价暴跌,Advance Auto Parts的市销率看起来与专业零售行业的其他公司相当。有人认为市销率是一种在某些行业中不太好的价值衡量标准,但它可能是一个有力的业务情绪指标。
我们对Advance Auto Parts营业收入前景的分析显示,其较差的营业收入前景并没有像我们预期的那样对其市销率产生太大的负面影响。目前,我们对市销率不太有信心,因为预测的未来营业收入不太可能支撑更积极的情绪持续。这种情况可能会对现有和潜在的投资者造成风险,如果低营业收入增长影响情绪,股价可能会下跌。
不要忘记还可能存在其他风险。例如,我们已经发现Advance Auto Parts存在两个警示信号(其中一个令人担忧),你应该注意。
如果您对Advance Auto Parts的业务实力不确定,为什么不浏览我们的互动股票列表,了解一些其他您可能错过的公司。