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Is Catalent (NYSE:CTLT) A Risky Investment?

Is Catalent (NYSE:CTLT) A Risky Investment?

Catalent (纽交所:CTLT) 是否是一个风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  08/30 09:18

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Catalent, Inc. (NYSE:CTLT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德・马克斯曾经很好地解释说,与其担心股价的波动性,更应该关注“永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险...而且我所知道的每个实践投资者都担心这一点。”因此,当你考虑任何一个股票有多大风险时,需要考虑债务,因为债务过高可能会拖垮一家公司。重要的是,Catalent Inc. (NYSE:CTLT) 确实负债。但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还债权人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到有负债的公司因为债权人迫使它们以低于市价的价格募集资本而不得不永久稀释股东权益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,公司合理地管理其债务,并处理得当,从而获得自己的利益。考虑企业的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑企业的现金和债务。

What Is Catalent's Debt?

Catalent的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Catalent had US$4.59b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$162.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$4.43b.

正如下面所示,Catalent在2024年3月有45.9亿美元的债务,与去年大致相同。您可以点击图表了解更多细节。然而,它也有1.62亿美元的现金,因此其净债务为443亿美元。

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NYSE:CTLT Debt to Equity History August 30th 2024
纽约证券交易所:CTLt资本负债历史

How Healthy Is Catalent's Balance Sheet?

Catalent的资产负债表健康状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Catalent had liabilities of US$1.01b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.26b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$162.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.35b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.76b.

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, 我们可以看到,Catalent在12个月内到期的负债为101亿美元,超过该期限的负债为526亿美元。 抵消这些债务,它拥有16200万美元的现金和价值135亿美元的应收账款,可在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和476亿美元。

Catalent has a very large market capitalization of US$10.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Catalent's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Catalent的市值非常高达108亿美元,因此如果有需要,它很有可能筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。 但我们绝对需要密切关注负债带来过大风险的迹象。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到了许多关于债务的信息。 但相比于任何其他因素,更多决定Catalent能否保持健康资产负债表的是未来的盈利。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份展示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

In the last year Catalent had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 8.0%, to US$4.1b. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去一年,Catalent的利息和税前利润亏损,并且营业收入实际减少了8.0%,至410亿美元。 我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Importantly, Catalent had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$118m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$123m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Catalent (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

重要的是,过去一年Catalent的利息和税前利润(EBIT)出现了亏损。 具体来说,EBIT亏损达11800万美元。 当我们考虑到这一点并回忆起资产负债表上的负债相对于现金,我们认为公司持有任何债务都是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非完全匹配,虽然随着时间的推移可以改善。另一个需要警惕的原因是,过去12个月其自由现金流为负的净现金流出了12300万美元。 因此,我们可以说我们认为该股票存在风险。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到了最多关于债务的信息。 然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。 例如,我们发现有关Catalent的2个警示信号(一个不容忽视!)在您在此投资之前您应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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