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Dell Technologies Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Dell Technologies Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Dell Technologies公司刚刚超越了分析师的预测,并且分析师们已经更新了他们的预测。
Simply Wall St ·  08/31 10:08

As you might know, Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong numbers. Dell Technologies beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$25b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 15%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

就像你可能已经知道的那样,戴尔科技公司(纽交所:DELL)刚刚发布了最新的季度财报,数字非常强劲。戴尔科技的收入达到了250亿美元,超出预期,法定每股收益也比分析师预期高出15%。分析师们通常在每个财报发布后会更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的预估值中判断他们对公司的看法有没有改变,或者是否有任何新的问题需要注意。所以我们收集了最新的公司财报后的预测,看看他们认为明年会有什么情况。

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NYSE:DELL Earnings and Revenue Growth August 31st 2024
戴尔科技的纽交所(NYSE:DELL)2024年8月31日的盈利和营业收入增长

Following the latest results, Dell Technologies' 20 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$97.2b in 2025. This would be a satisfactory 5.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$5.72, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$96.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.59 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

根据最新的成果,戴尔科技的20名分析师预测2025年的营业收入将达到972亿美元。这相比过去12个月来说是一个令人满意的5.9%的增长。预计每股收益将为5.72美元,与过去12个月大致相等。在这个财报之前,分析师们预测2025年的收入为965亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为5.59美元。从他们的新每股收益预测来看,分析师们似乎对这家企业更加看好了。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$152, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Dell Technologies at US$220 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$106. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

目前,对于戴尔科技的共识价格目标没有发生重大变化,为152美元,这表明改善的每股收益预期不足以对股票估值产生长期正面影响。然而,只关注一个价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估值范围,以了解对公司估值是否存在不同的观点。目前,最乐观的分析师将戴尔科技的估值定为每股220美元,而最悲观的估值为每股106美元。注意分析师价格目标之间的差距吗?这对我们来说意味着基本业务存在相当广泛的可能性范围。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Dell Technologies' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.1% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 7.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Dell Technologies is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

我们可以将这些估算数据放在更大背景下进行查看,比如预测与过往表现的对比,以及与行业其他公司相比,预测是更看好还是更看淡。从最新的预测数据来看,戴尔科技的增长速度预计将有显著加快,预测到2025年底的年化营业收入增长率为12%,明显快于过去五年的1.1%的历史增速。将这一数据与同行业其他公司作比较,他们的年收入增长预计为7.7%。考虑到营收预期加速增长,很明显戴尔科技预计将比行业增长快得多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Dell Technologies following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

这里最重要的是分析师们调高了每股收益的预期,表明随着这些结果的出来,他们对戴尔科技的乐观情绪明显增加。幸运的是,他们也重申了营收数据,表明其与预期保持一致。此外,我们的数据显示,营收预计将比整个行业增长更快。一致的目标股价没有太大变化,显示出业务的内在价值没有在最新的估算中发生较大变化。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Dell Technologies. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Dell Technologies analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这一点,我们不应该过快得出对戴尔科技的结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润更加重要。我们有来自多位戴尔科技分析师的预测,延伸至2027年,并您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Dell Technologies that you should be aware of.

不要忘记可能仍存在风险。例如,我们已经确认了戴尔科技的4个警示信号,您应该注意。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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