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Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's (SHSE:688196) Soft Earnings

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's (SHSE:688196) Soft Earnings

一些投资者可能愿意忽视卓越新能(SHSE:688196)的低收益
Simply Wall St ·  08/31 20:08

The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

长盈卓越新能有限公司(SHSE:688196)最近的收益报告让市场感到满意,尽管利润数字较低。我们认为投资者可能关注的是收益数字之外的一些积极因素。

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SHSE:688196 Earnings and Revenue History September 1st 2024
SHSE:688196收益和营业收入历史(2024年9月1日)

A Closer Look At Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's Earnings

深入了解长盈卓越新能的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者没有听说过来自现金流的计提比率,但实际上它是衡量公司利润在给定期间内如何得到自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。该计提比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。您可将来自现金流的计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比利润预示的要多。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为值得注意的是,当公司应计比率相对较高时。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“应计较高的公司未来可能不那么有盈利能力”。

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has an accrual ratio of 0.32 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥28.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥725m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥573m a year ago though, so Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. One positive for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

长盈卓越新能2024年6月的应计比率为0.32。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于法定利润,这引发了关于利润数字实际有多有用的问题。尽管它报告的利润为2810万元人民币,但自由现金流数据显示它在过去一年中实际流失了72500万元人民币。不过,一年前的自由现金流为57300万元人民币,所以长盈卓越新能至少过去能够产生正的自由现金流。但以上仅仅是故事的一部分。应计比率在一定程度上反映了非常规项目对法定利润的影响。长盈卓越新能股东的一个积极因素是其应计比率去年明显更好,这有理由相信它未来可能恢复更强的现金转换能力。因此,一些股东可能期望在当前年度看到更强的现金转换。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥10m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to June 2024, Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

卓越新能的利润受到飞凡项目的影响,在过去的十二个月中减少了1000万人民币。如果这是一项非现金费用,它将使应计比率变得更好,如果现金流依然强劲,所以与平淡的应计比率相结合并不好。看到飞凡项目损失公司利润从来都不好,但好的一面是,情况可能更早得到改善。当我们对全球大部分上市公司进行分析时,我们发现重大的飞凡项目往往不会重复出现。这并不令人意外,因为这些项目被认为是不寻常的。在2024年6月的十二个月内,卓越新能有一笔巨额的飞凡项目费用。因此,我们可以推测,这些飞凡项目使其法定利润显著较弱。

Our Take On Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's Profit Performance

我们对卓越新能的利润表现的看法

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has 3 warning signs (2 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

卓越新能的利润受到飞凡项目的拖累,这应该使其更容易展示出高现金转换率,但根据其应计比率来看,它并没有做到。考虑到上述情况,我们认为卓越新能的利润可能是其潜在盈利能力的一个合理反映;尽管如果我们看到一个更为干净的结果集,我们对这个结论将更有信心。鉴于此,如果您想对该公司进行更多的分析,了解所涉及的风险是至关重要的。例如,我们发现在进行进一步分析之前,卓越新能有3个警告信号(其中2个不能被忽视!)值得您的注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我们已经探讨了许多可能损害利润数字作为企业指导的因素。但有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是良好业务经济学的一个指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”,寻找内部人员购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这些高股本回报率的免费公司集合,或这些拥有高内部所有权的股票的清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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